Full time

3-1

Sat 12 Sept · 15:00

Swansea vs Burnley prediction

Follow Swansea Follow Burnley Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 7
Venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Referee: James Bell, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Swansea

68Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +4 goal difference

Burnley

43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Swansea or Draw

BetGenius backs Swansea or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Swansea welcome Burnley to the Swansea.com Stadium in a Championship matchup between two sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. Swansea sit third in the table with eleven points from six fixtures, propelled by a remarkably disciplined defensive record on home soil where they have yet to concede a goal in three matches.

Burnley arrive in south Wales enduring a difficult start, positioned 23rd in the standings with three points and still searching for their first league victory of the season. Their defensive struggles have been particularly acute on their travels, where they have conceded eight goals across three away trips while managing a solitary point.

With Swansea keeping clean sheets in all three of their home league encounters and Burnley dealing with several squad absences across their roster, the hosts hold the upper hand in terms of momentum and defensive solidity.

Analysis

Key factors

Swansea have kept clean sheets in all three of their home Championship matches this season.
Burnley are winless in six league matches, taking just one point from three away games.
Burnley have conceded eight goals across three away fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals allowed per road match.
Swansea have conceded only four goals in six league outings overall, holding the third spot in the table.

Availability

Team news

Swansea

C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
J. KeyMuscle Injury
RonaldHamstring Injury

Burnley

A. AhmedhodzicKnock
A. BarnesMuscle Injury
J. BeyerHamstring Injury
B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
H. MejbriHamstring Injury
A. RamseyHamstring Injury
Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
J. BanelMuscle Injury
J. CullenKnee Injury

M. ObafemiInactive
S. SamboInactive
M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Swansea at homeBurnley away

Played

3-2-1

W-D-L

1-1-3

1.2

Scored /game

1.6

0.5

Conceded /game

2.2

50%

Clean sheets

20%

50%

Failed to score

60%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Swansea at home plus Burnley away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	SwanseaPromotion - Premier League	11	+8	23
2	West HamPromotion - Premier League	11	+18	22
3	MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	11	+6	22
4	BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	11	+9	20
19	Cardiff	11	+1	11
20	Watford	11	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	-4	9
22	BurnleyRelegation - League One	11	-5	8
23	DerbyRelegation - League One	11	-11	6
24	PrestonRelegation - League One	11	-15	4

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

5
Swansea: 0
Draws: 5
Burnley

the last 10 meetings are split 5-5 with 0 drawn, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

2025-03-15Swansea0-2Burnley
2024-11-10Burnley1-0Swansea
2023-01-02Swansea1-2Burnley
2022-10-15Burnley4-0Swansea
2018-02-10Swansea1-0Burnley

BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Swansea or Draw

78%

Confidence

Swansea enter this fixture unbeaten at home in league play, having posted one win and two draws without conceding a single goal across their three home matches. Burnley have struggled for form, remaining winless through six league rounds with three draws and three defeats, alongside an average of 2.7 goals conceded per away match. Backing Swansea to win or draw covers the strong likelihood of the home side continuing their resilient defensive displays against a visiting side that has yet to win on the road.

Explore

Swansea vs Burnley prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Swansea

Burnley

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Championship

1 published market

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Other Championship predictions

Teams around them in the table