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Tue 20 Oct · 19:45

Stevenage vs Plymouth prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 12
Venue: Broadhall Way, Stevenage

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Stevenage

64Average

Last 4 matches · 3W-0D-1L · +5 goal difference

Plymouth

49Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Plymouth or Draw

BetGenius backs Plymouth or Draw (Double Chance) at 73% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

73%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Plymouth come into the game in 4th place with 19 points from 11 matches, while Stevenage sit 12th with 12 points from 9. Plymouth have a stronger points‑per‑game ratio and are in the playoff zone, whereas Stevenage are mid‑table.

Recent form shows Plymouth have won three of their last five, including a 2‑0 away victory over Leyton Orient, while Stevenage have also secured three wins but have an unresolved fixture in their last five. Stevenage have been solid at home with two wins and a draw in four home games.

Head‑to‑head favors Plymouth strongly – seven wins to two for Stevenage in ten meetings, most recent 1‑0 win at home. Both sides average around 1.5 goals per game, giving an expected total close to 2.9, and their meetings have gone over 2.5 goals 60 % of the time, suggesting a likely over‑2.5 scoreline.

Analysis

Key factors

Plymouth sit 4th with 19 points, Stevenage 12th with 12 points
Plymouth have a 7‑2 head‑to‑head advantage over Stevenage
Both teams average around 1.5 goals per game, expected total ≈2.9
Recent form: Plymouth 3 wins in 5, Stevenage 3 wins but with an unknown result
Over‑2.5 goals have occurred in 60 % of their last ten meetings

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Stevenage at homePlymouth away

Played

2-1-1

W-D-L

3-1-1

1.5

Scored /game

1.3

Conceded /game

1.4

—

Clean sheets

20%

—

Failed to score

20%

—

BTTS (last 5)

40%

—

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.5 goals per game (Stevenage at home plus Plymouth away).

Players

Key players this season

Stevenage

J. Magennis3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	HuddersfieldPromotion - Championship	11	+12	22
3	BradfordPromotion - League One (Play Offs)	11	+5	21
4	Cambridge UnitedPromotion - League One (Play Offs)	11	+4	20
5	PlymouthPromotion - League One (Play Offs)	12	+1	19
6	ReadingPromotion - League One (Play Offs)	11	+11	18
7	Sheffield Wednesday	10	+10	18
8	Oxford United	9	+8	18
9	Stevenage	10	+5	15
10	Leicester	10	+1	15
11	Mansfield Town	10	+1	15
12	Leyton Orient	11	+3	14

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Stevenage: 1
Draws: 7
Plymouth

Plymouth have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

2026-10-20Stevenage3-0Plymouth
2026-03-17Plymouth1-0Stevenage
2026-01-01Stevenage1-1Plymouth
2020-01-25Stevenage1-2Plymouth
2019-12-29Plymouth2-1Stevenage

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST

Double Chance

Plymouth or Draw

73%

Confidence

Plymouth’s higher league position, superior points total and a 7‑2 record in the last ten meetings give them a clear edge. Their recent three wins in five matches and a 2‑0 away win against Leyton Orient indicate good momentum. Stevenage’s home form is decent but they have scored fewer goals on average (1.3) than Plymouth (1.6). The combined scoring average of roughly 2.9 goals per game and a 60 % over‑2.5 rate in their head‑to‑head support backing Plymouth to avoid defeat (win or draw) while also expecting an over‑2.5 goal total.

Explore

Stevenage vs Plymouth prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Stevenage

Table context

Head-to-head

1 published market

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