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Sun 30 Aug · 17:00

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 7
Venue: Stadion Spartak, Varna
Referee: Nikola Popov, Bulgaria

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Spartak Varna

37Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -7 goal difference

Ludogorets

73Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner

Ludogorets to win

BetGenius backs Ludogorets to win (Match Winner) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

80%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

League leaders Ludogorets travel to face Spartak Varna in round 7 of the First League looking to maintain their strong domestic momentum. Ludogorets sit at the top of the standings with 16 points from six matches (five wins, one draw) and have maintained an unbeaten start to their league campaign while conceding only four goals.

Spartak Varna currently occupy seventh place with seven points from six fixtures and enter this match amid a difficult run of form. Following three consecutive defeats—capped by a heavy 6-0 loss against Levski Sofia—the hosts face a major test against the league's most consistent side.

Analysis

Key factors

Ludogorets lead the First League standings with 16 points and remain unbeaten through six matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
Spartak Varna are on a three-match losing streak in the league, having conceded 10 goals across those three fixtures.
Head-to-head history heavily favors Ludogorets, who have won seven of the previous eight clashes and all four away meetings.
Spartak Varna have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game in the league this season.
Past encounters between these two clubs have produced an average of 3.375 goals per match, with 75% seeing over 2.5 total goals.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Spartak Varna at homeLudogorets away

Played

1-3-1

W-D-L

3-1-0

Scored /game

Conceded /game

20%

Clean sheets

—

20%

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

20%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Spartak Varna at home plus Ludogorets away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Levski SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)	10	+19	28
2	CSKA SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)	11	+18	27
3	LudogoretsPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)	10	+14	26
4	CSKA 1948Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)	11	+8	22
5	Botev PlovdivPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)	11	+3	19
6	Arda KardzhaliPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)	11	-2	17
7	Spartak VarnaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)	11	-4	13
8	Slavia SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)	11	0	11
9	Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)	11	-11	9
10	Dunav Ruseefbet League (Relegation Group)	11	-8	8

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

0
Spartak Varna: 2
Draws: 7
Ludogorets

Ludogorets have won 7 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

2026-08-30Spartak Varna1-1Ludogorets
2026-03-19Spartak Varna1-5Ludogorets
2025-10-18Ludogorets1-1Spartak Varna
2025-04-19Ludogorets2-1Spartak Varna
2024-11-10Spartak Varna1-3Ludogorets

BetGenius

Our record in First League

67%33 won from 49 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

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Match Winner

Ludogorets to win

80%

Confidence

Ludogorets meet the high bar for a straight away win selection due to an overwhelming statistical advantage across multiple indicators. The visitors sit top of the First League with five wins from six games and an average of 2.5 goals scored per away fixture. In contrast, Spartak Varna have lost three consecutive league matches, conceding 10 goals in that span. Furthermore, historical head-to-head records strongly favor Ludogorets, who have won seven of the last eight meetings between the sides, including all four played at Spartak Varna.

Explore

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in First League

1 published market

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