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Sat 17 Oct · 15:00
Southampton vs Bolton prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 11
- Venue
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
- Referee
- Matt Donohue
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Form
Recent form
Southampton
67Strong
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference
Bolton
64Average
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Southampton or Draw
BetGenius backs Southampton or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview
Match preview
Southampton welcome Bolton looking to extend an unblemished record on home turf in the Championship. Sitting seventh in the table with 16 points, the hosts have recorded maximum points across all five home outings to date, driven by a prolific frontline that averages 3.2 goals scored per match at their home ground.
Bolton travel south positioned 14th with 13 points, having experienced an inconsistent campaign consisting of four wins, one draw, and five defeats through 10 fixtures. Although they earned a 3-1 away victory against Wolves in their latest match, defensive instability remains a primary concern after conceding 11 goals in five away trips.
With Southampton yet to be shut out in any league match this term and Bolton allowing 2.2 goals per away fixture on average, the hosts hold significant advantages in form and offensive output.
Analysis
Key factors
- Southampton have won all five home league matches this season, scoring 16 goals and conceding only four.
- Bolton concede an average of 2.2 goals per away game, having shipped 11 goals across five road fixtures.
- Southampton have scored in 10 out of 10 Championship matches so far, failing to score zero times.
- Forward C. Larin has scored seven goals for Southampton, assisted frequently by F. Azaz who has five assists.
- Bolton have lost five of their 10 league fixtures and carry a negative goal difference of minus three.
Availability
Team news
Southampton
- F. DownesAnkle Injury
Bolton
- C. Forino-JosephGroin Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Southampton at homeBolton away
6
Played
6
5-1-0
W-D-L
2-2-2
2.7
Scored /game
1.5
0.7
Conceded /game
1.8
33%
Clean sheets
33%
17%
Failed to score
50%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Combined scoring rate: 4.2 goals per game (Southampton at home plus Bolton away).
Players
Key players this season
Southampton
- C. Larin7G
- F. Azaz5A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +11 | 17 |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | -10 | 12 |
History
Head-to-head
- 0
- Southampton
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Bolton
all 1 of the last meeting between these two ended level.
- 2026-10-17Southampton0-0Bolton
BetGenius
Our record in Championship
63%126 won from 199 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
2 published markets
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FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Southampton or Draw
78%
Confidence
Southampton have been flawless at home this season with five wins from five matches, scoring 16 times and conceding just four goals. Across the entire campaign, they have scored in all 10 league fixtures. Bolton have suffered five losses in 10 matches and concede an average of 2.2 goals per away outing. Backing Southampton to win or draw accounts for any competitive away resistance while heavily favoring the superior home profile.
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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.