BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 1
Venue
Skonto, Rīga
Referee
Florjan Lata, Albania
Form

Recent form

Riga
81Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +5 goal difference

Kairat Almaty
60Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Riga or Draw

BetGenius backs Riga or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Riga enter this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture in strong form, having won each of their last four competitive fixtures. Their recent sequence includes a 2-0 away win against Tukums and a 2-1 away victory over Aris, contributing to an unbeaten run of four wins and two draws across their last six outings with 12 goals scored and six conceded.

Kairat Almaty arrive with more inconsistent momentum, posting three victories and two losses over their previous five matches. Although they secured a 1-0 home win against Zhetysu in their latest game, they struggled in recent tests, suffering a 1-0 defeat on the road against FC Astana and a 4-1 home setback against FK Tobol Kostanay.

With Riga demonstrating solid consistency on home soil, where they have won all three recorded games and scored eight goals, the hosts hold an edge in stability heading into this European tie.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Riga are undefeated in their last six matches, recording four wins and two draws.
  2. Riga have won all three of their recorded home fixtures, scoring eight goals and allowing three.
  3. Riga come into the fixture on a four-match winning streak across all competitions.
  4. Kairat Almaty have lost two of their last four games, failing to score in their recent away defeat against FC Astana.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Riga at homeKairat Almaty away
4
Played
1
3-1-0
W-D-L
0-1-0
2.3
Scored /game
—
1
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
18SC FreiburgPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-23
19FC NordsjaellandPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)202
20Egnatia RrogozhinëPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)202
21RigaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)202
22FK Crvena ZvezdaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-11
23CSKA SofiaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-11
24FK JablonecPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)2-11
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Riga or Draw
76%
Confidence

Riga enter this match unbeaten in six competitive fixtures, winning four and drawing two. At home, they have won all three recorded fixtures with eight goals scored and three conceded. Kairat Almaty have suffered two defeats in their last four matches, including a 1-0 away defeat to FC Astana, making a home win or draw a well-supported outcome.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.