BetGenius
Round
1/128-finals
Venue
Complexo Desportivo Azevido
Form

Recent form

Rebordosa
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Alpendorada
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Rebordosa or Draw

BetGenius backs Rebordosa or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Rebordosa host Alpendorada in the 1/128-finals of the Taça de Portugal, looking to leverage their strong historical record against the visitors to kick-start their campaign. Rebordosa enter the cup tie on a three-match losing streak, having been edged out 1-0 by both Chaves II and Tirsense, along with a 2-0 defeat to Vianense.

Alpendorada arrive with mixed form from their recent outings, picking up two victories and three defeats across their last five matches. Their most recent encounter ended in a 2-1 home loss to Camacha, following a 1-0 away victory against Guarda.

Head-to-head history heavily favours Rebordosa, who are unbeaten in their four recorded meetings against Alpendorada with three wins and one draw. At home, Rebordosa have won both previous encounters (2-0 and 2-1), giving them a psychological edge despite recent goal-scoring struggles.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Rebordosa are unbeaten in all four previous head-to-head encounters against Alpendorada (three wins, one draw).
  2. Rebordosa won both prior home meetings against Alpendorada by scores of 2-0 and 2-1.
  3. Rebordosa's last three matches have each finished with under 2.5 total goals.
  4. Alpendorada have suffered three defeats in their last five fixtures across all competitions.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Rebordosa at homeAlpendorada away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
History

Head-to-head

3
Rebordosa
2
Draws
0
Alpendorada

Rebordosa have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Rebordosa2-2Alpendorada
  • 2026-01-17Alpendorada1-1Rebordosa
  • 2025-08-17Rebordosa2-0Alpendorada
  • 2023-03-19Rebordosa2-1Alpendorada
  • 2022-12-04Alpendorada0-3Rebordosa
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Rebordosa or Draw
72%
Confidence

Rebordosa have controlled this matchup historically, remaining undefeated in four head-to-head clashes against Alpendorada (three wins, one draw) and winning both home encounters. While Rebordosa have experienced difficulty in front of goal across their last three matches, backing them with a Double Chance covers both a home win and a draw in what is expected to be a tight cup tie.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.