San Jose have been in good form, especially away, and hold a better league position. Real Salt Lake’s recent home losses and defensive issues increase the likelihood of a draw or an Earthquakes win. The double‑chance covers the Earthquakes’ advantage while accounting for the possibility of a stalemate.
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 29
- Venue
- Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy
- Referee
- Sergii Demianchuk
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +4 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs San Jose Earthquakes or Draw (Double Chance) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Real Salt Lake host San Jose Earthquakes in a late‑season clash that could decide the final playoff spots. RSL sit 11th with 32 points and have struggled recently, losing three of their last five games and conceding three goals in each of their two most recent home defeats. Their home form this season is modest (8‑2‑4) but recent performances suggest defensive frailties.
The Earthquakes sit fourth with 46 points and a strong away record (7‑4‑3). They have won four of their last five fixtures and have been solid defensively away, keeping three clean sheets. Head‑to‑head the two sides are evenly matched, but RSL have a slight edge at home with three wins in five meetings. Both teams average around 1.8 goals per game and 60 % of their recent encounters have seen both sides score.
Injuries affect both squads, RSL missing six players including J. Arias and D. Luna, while the Earthquakes are without five, notably N. Adimabua. The balance of recent form, home advantage and the tight historical record points to a competitive game, but the Earthquakes appear the more likely side to avoid defeat.
Key factors
- Earthquakes are on a six‑match unbeaten run with four wins in the last five
- Real Salt Lake have lost three of their last five, including two heavy home defeats
- Both teams average close to 1.8 goals per game, suggesting a total over 2.5
- Head‑to‑head shows Real Salt Lake slight edge at home (3‑2 record) but overall balance is tight
- Injuries affect both sides, but Earthquakes missing fewer key attackers
Team news
Real Salt Lake
- J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
- E. EneliKnee Injury
- L. EngelHamstring Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- D. LunaKnee Injury
- G. DillonFoot Injury
Team news last updated Oct 15 (9 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
San Jose Earthquakes
- N. AdimabuaHernia
- J. A. Gonzalez MendozaInjury
- D. JohnsonLower-Body Injury
- D. JonesAchilles Tendon Injury
- J. SkahanLower-Body Injury
Team news last updated Oct 15 (9 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Real Salt Lake at home plus San Jose Earthquakes away).
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 30 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis CityPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 30 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 | FC DallasPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 30 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose EarthquakesPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 30 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston DynamoPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 30 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FCPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 31 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle SoundersPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 30 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles GalaxyPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 31 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 30 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | -8 | 34 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Real Salt Lake
- 1
- Draws
- 4
- San Jose Earthquakes
the last 9 meetings are split 4-4 with 1 drawn, averaging 3.3 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.
- 2025-07-27Real Salt Lake2-1San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-02-23San Jose Earthquakes4-0Real Salt Lake
- 2024-10-06San Jose Earthquakes0-1Real Salt Lake
- 2024-08-25Real Salt Lake0-2San Jose Earthquakes
- 2023-09-17San Jose Earthquakes2-1Real Salt Lake
Our record in Major League Soccer
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

