BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 29
Venue
Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy
Referee
Sergii Demianchuk
Form

Recent form

Real Salt Lake
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

San Jose Earthquakes
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw

BetGenius backs San Jose Earthquakes or Draw (Double Chance) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

80%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Real Salt Lake host San Jose Earthquakes in a late‑season clash that could decide the final playoff spots. RSL sit 11th with 32 points and have struggled recently, losing three of their last five games and conceding three goals in each of their two most recent home defeats. Their home form this season is modest (8‑2‑4) but recent performances suggest defensive frailties.

The Earthquakes sit fourth with 46 points and a strong away record (7‑4‑3). They have won four of their last five fixtures and have been solid defensively away, keeping three clean sheets. Head‑to‑head the two sides are evenly matched, but RSL have a slight edge at home with three wins in five meetings. Both teams average around 1.8 goals per game and 60 % of their recent encounters have seen both sides score.

Injuries affect both squads, RSL missing six players including J. Arias and D. Luna, while the Earthquakes are without five, notably N. Adimabua. The balance of recent form, home advantage and the tight historical record points to a competitive game, but the Earthquakes appear the more likely side to avoid defeat.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Earthquakes are on a six‑match unbeaten run with four wins in the last five
  2. Real Salt Lake have lost three of their last five, including two heavy home defeats
  3. Both teams average close to 1.8 goals per game, suggesting a total over 2.5
  4. Head‑to‑head shows Real Salt Lake slight edge at home (3‑2 record) but overall balance is tight
  5. Injuries affect both sides, but Earthquakes missing fewer key attackers
Availability

Team news

Real Salt Lake

  • J. J. AriasHamstring Injury
  • E. EneliKnee Injury
  • L. EngelHamstring Injury
  • J. GladGroin Injury
  • D. LunaKnee Injury
  • G. DillonFoot Injury

Team news last updated Oct 15 (9 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

San Jose Earthquakes

  • N. AdimabuaHernia
  • J. A. Gonzalez MendozaInjury
  • D. JohnsonLower-Body Injury
  • D. JonesAchilles Tendon Injury
  • J. SkahanLower-Body Injury

Team news last updated Oct 15 (9 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Real Salt Lake at homeSan Jose Earthquakes away
14
Played
14
8-2-4
W-D-L
7-4-3
1.9
Scored /game
1.8
1.4
Conceded /game
1.3
21%
Clean sheets
21%
21%
Failed to score
14%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Real Salt Lake at home plus San Jose Earthquakes away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+3255
2St. Louis CityPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+1551
3FC DallasPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+851
4San Jose EarthquakesPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+1048
5Houston DynamoPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+247
6Los Angeles FCPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)31+1546
7Seattle SoundersPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)30+242
8Los Angeles GalaxyPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)31-940
9Colorado RapidsPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)30039
10Real Salt Lake30-336
11Portland Timbers30-534
12San Diego30-334
13Minnesota United FC30-834
History

Head-to-head

4
Real Salt Lake
1
Draws
4
San Jose Earthquakes

the last 9 meetings are split 4-4 with 1 drawn, averaging 3.3 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

  • 2025-07-27Real Salt Lake2-1San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-02-23San Jose Earthquakes4-0Real Salt Lake
  • 2024-10-06San Jose Earthquakes0-1Real Salt Lake
  • 2024-08-25Real Salt Lake0-2San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2023-09-17San Jose Earthquakes2-1Real Salt Lake
BetGenius

Our record in Major League Soccer

68%19 won from 28 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw
80%
Confidence

San Jose have been in good form, especially away, and hold a better league position. Real Salt Lake’s recent home losses and defensive issues increase the likelihood of a draw or an Earthquakes win. The double‑chance covers the Earthquakes’ advantage while accounting for the possibility of a stalemate.

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Published October 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.