BetGenius
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville
Referee
Rodrigo Albuquerque
Form

Recent form

Racing Louisville W
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -6 goal difference

Utah Royals W
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Utah Royals W or Draw

BetGenius backs Utah Royals W or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Racing Louisville W enter this contest in difficult form, having lost each of their last five matches in the NWSL. Sitting in 15th place with 23 points from 26 matches, Louisville have struggled defensively throughout the campaign, conceding 51 goals across their 26 games and failing to record a clean sheet.

Utah Royals W, by contrast, occupy 4th place with 45 points and are positioned firmly in the playoff quarter-final places. The visitors have demonstrated solid form on the road, winning six and drawing three of their 13 away fixtures while scoring 22 goals away from home.

The head-to-head record between these teams has historically delivered competitive, high-scoring affairs, with four of the five previous meetings seeing both teams score and over 2.5 goals. However, the current momentum heavily favours the visitors given Louisville's ongoing losing sequence.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Racing Louisville W have lost five consecutive league matches, scoring just three goals and conceding eleven across that run.
  2. Utah Royals W sit 4th in the table with 45 points, compared to Racing Louisville W in 15th on 23 points.
  3. Racing Louisville W have conceded 51 goals in 26 matches and have not recorded a single clean sheet this season.
  4. Utah Royals W have collected positive results in nine of their 13 away games, winning six and drawing three.
  5. Four of the five previous head-to-head meetings between the two sides have produced over 2.5 total goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Racing Louisville W at homeUtah Royals W away
14
Played
14
5-3-6
W-D-L
6-4-4
1.4
Scored /game
1.6
1.5
Conceded /game
1.3
0%
Clean sheets
29%
29%
Failed to score
7%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Racing Louisville W at home plus Utah Royals W away).

Players

Key players this season

Utah Royals W

  • Minami Tanaka5A
  • C. Lacasse5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2San Diego Wave WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1354
3Washington Spirit WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1452
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
12Houston Dash W29-433
13Boston Legacy W28-932
14Bay FC W28-1427
15Racing Louisville W28-1724
16Chicago Red Stars W29-5217
History

Head-to-head

2
Racing Louisville W
0
Draws
3
Utah Royals W

Utah Royals W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 4.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-05-18Utah Royals W2-1Racing Louisville W
  • 2025-09-20Utah Royals W3-2Racing Louisville W
  • 2025-06-07Racing Louisville W3-2Utah Royals W
  • 2024-09-28Utah Royals W1-0Racing Louisville W
  • 2024-04-20Racing Louisville W5-1Utah Royals W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Utah Royals W or Draw
78%
Confidence

Utah Royals W sit eleven places and 22 points ahead of Racing Louisville W in the standings. Louisville have lost five consecutive matches, conceding at least two goals in each, and have not kept a clean sheet all season. With Utah taking points from nine of their 13 away fixtures, the visitors are well placed to avoid defeat.

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Published October 1, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.