BetGenius
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Providence Park, Portland
Referee
Trevor Wiseman
Form

Recent form

Portland Thorns W
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference

Houston Dash W
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Portland Thorns W Over 1.5 Goals + Portland Thorns W or Draw

BetGenius backs Portland Thorns W Over 1.5 Goals + Portland Thorns W or Draw (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Portland Thorns welcome Houston Dash to Providence Park in an NWSL encounter where the hosts will look to consolidate their position in the playoff quarter-final spots. Portland sit fifth in the table on 42 points after 25 matches, buoyed by a convincing 4-1 away victory over Orlando Pride in their most recent outing. Their home form has been remarkably sturdy throughout the campaign, yielding seven wins and four draws with only a single defeat in 12 matches, alongside seven home clean sheets.

Houston Dash travel to Oregon positioned 12th with 29 points and will aim to build on their 2-1 away victory against Boston Legacy. However, sustaining consistency on the road has proved challenging for the Dash, who have suffered eight defeats in 13 away league fixtures while conceding 21 goals and failing to score in five of those trips.

The head-to-head history heavily favours the hosts in recent times. Portland have won each of the last four meetings between the sides, outscoring Houston 12-2 across those matches with scorelines of 2-0, 4-1, 2-0, and 4-1.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Portland Thorns W at homeHouston Dash W away
14
Played
14
7-5-2
W-D-L
3-3-8
1.7
Scored /game
0.9
0.9
Conceded /game
1.6
50%
Clean sheets
7%
7%
Failed to score
36%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Portland Thorns W at home plus Houston Dash W away).

Players

Key players this season

Portland Thorns W

  • S. Smith11G
  • P. Tordin7A

Houston Dash W

  • K. Rader10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
9North Carolina Courage W28+1042
10Denver Summit W28+738
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
13Boston Legacy W28-932
14Bay FC W28-1427
15Racing Louisville W28-1724
History

Head-to-head

6
Portland Thorns W
2
Draws
2
Houston Dash W

Portland Thorns W have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-27Portland Thorns W1-1Houston Dash W
  • 2025-11-02Portland Thorns W2-0Houston Dash W
  • 2025-05-17Houston Dash W1-4Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-05-18Houston Dash W0-2Portland Thorns W
  • 2024-04-21Portland Thorns W4-1Houston Dash W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Portland Thorns W Over 1.5 Goals + Portland Thorns W or Draw
72%
Both must land · no better than

Portland Thorns W Over 1.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Portland average 1.80 goals per match at home and have scored at least twice in each of their last four head-to-head fixtures against Houston Dash. Houston concede an average of 1.62 goals per game on their travels, pointing to Portland generating sufficient scoring opportunities to reach two goals.

Portland Thorns W or Draw — 79% confidence

Portland Thorns have suffered just one loss in 12 home matches this league campaign, posting seven wins and four draws while conceding only eight goals at Providence Park. In contrast, Houston Dash have lost eight of their 13 away fixtures. With Portland also holding a four-match winning streak in direct head-to-head encounters against Houston, the home side is well positioned to take something from this contest.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Team Total Goals
Portland Thorns W Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Portland average 1.80 goals per match at home and have scored at least twice in each of their last four head-to-head fixtures against Houston Dash. Houston concede an average of 1.62 goals per game on their travels, pointing to Portland generating sufficient scoring opportunities to reach two goals.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Portland Thorns W or Draw
79%
Confidence

Portland Thorns have suffered just one loss in 12 home matches this league campaign, posting seven wins and four draws while conceding only eight goals at Providence Park. In contrast, Houston Dash have lost eight of their 13 away fixtures. With Portland also holding a four-match winning streak in direct head-to-head encounters against Houston, the home side is well positioned to take something from this contest.

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Published September 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.