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Sun 6 Sept · 14:00

Parma vs Monza prediction

Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Referee
Federico La Penna, Italy
Form

Recent form

Parma
25Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -6 goal difference

Monza
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Parma or Draw

BetGenius backs Parma or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Parma and Monza head into matchday three of Serie A searching for their first points of the campaign, with both sides sitting in the bottom four after opening the season with back-to-back league defeats.

Parma have struggled in front of goal, failing to score in either of their first two league fixtures against Cagliari and Juventus while conceding three times. However, their historical record against Monza is solid, remaining unbeaten across their four recorded meetings with one win and three draws.

Monza have shown attacking capability through Gustavo Varela, who has scored twice, but their defensive fragility has proved costly with seven goals conceded across their two Serie A fixtures against Inter and Udinese. With captain M. Pessina sidelined through a knee injury, the visitors will look to shore up their back line at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Parma are unbeaten in their four recorded head-to-head fixtures against Monza with one win and three draws.
  2. Monza have conceded seven goals in their opening two Serie A matches, averaging 3.5 goals conceded per game.
  3. Three of the four historical meetings between these sides have ended in draws, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
  4. Parma have yet to score in the league this season, while Monza's attack has produced three goals led by Gustavo Varela with two.
Availability

Team news

Parma

  • P. AlmqvistCalf Injury
  • H. Nicolussi CavigliaThigh Injury
  • N. ElphegeIllness
  • L. ValentiCoach's decision

Monza

  • Y. MayeMuscle Injury
  • M. PessinaKnee Injury
  • J. ZiolkowskiFoot Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Parma at homeMonza away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
0-1-3
0.8
Scored /game
1.3
1.5
Conceded /game
2.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Parma at home plus Monza away).

Players

Key players this season

Monza

  • Gustavo Varela6G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
15Bologna7-45
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
18FiorentinaRelegation7-94
19ParmaRelegation7-94
20VeneziaRelegation7-103
History

Head-to-head

1
Parma
4
Draws
0
Monza

Parma have won 1 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-09-06Parma1-1Monza
  • 2025-03-15Monza1-1Parma
  • 2024-12-28Parma2-1Monza
  • 2022-03-02Monza1-1Parma
  • 2021-10-17Parma0-0Monza
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Parma or Draw
68%
Confidence

Parma have avoided defeat in all four head-to-head encounters with Monza, recording one victory and three draws. Monza enter the fixture with serious defensive concerns, having conceded seven goals in their first two Serie A outings. With Parma at home and Monza missing key midfielder M. Pessina, the hosts are well positioned to take at least a point from this contest.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.