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Ligue 1Ligue 1
20:30
Mon 26 Oct

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction

Follow Paris Saint GermainFollow LyonFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Parc des Princes, Paris
Referee
Jerome Brisard

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Paris Saint Germain
94Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +9 goal difference

Lyon
53Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain or Draw

BetGenius backs Paris Saint Germain or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

A top-of-the-table clash in Ligue 1 sees second-placed Paris Saint Germain host league leaders Lyon at the Parc des Princes, with both sides locked on 14 points through seven rounds.

Paris Saint Germain enter this clash riding a wave of attacking momentum, having won five consecutive fixtures across all competitions. That stretch includes impressive high-scoring victories over Manchester City and Barcelona. Despite missing key figures such as Marquinhos, Nuno Mendes, Ousmane Dembele, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, the Parisians have maintained an average of two goals scored per league match and have not failed to score in any Ligue 1 game this season.

Lyon sit atop the standings on goal difference thanks to a strong home record, but their recent travels have been far less convincing. They suffered back-to-back away defeats heading into this fixture, losing 2-1 at Lens in the league and 3-0 at Hoffenheim in Europe. With attacking talent Lois Openda and creative contributor Pavel Sulc sidelined, Lyon face a demanding assignment against a Paris side that has won seven of the last ten head-to-head encounters between the clubs.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Paris Saint Germain have won five consecutive competitive matches, scoring 16 goals across that sequence.
  2. Lyon have lost their last two away fixtures across all competitions, conceding five goals and scoring just once.
  3. Paris Saint Germain hold a commanding head-to-head advantage, winning seven of the past ten meetings with Lyon.
  4. Both teams face significant personnel issues, with Paris missing Marquinhos and Dembele while Lyon are without Openda and Sulc.
  5. Head-to-head fixtures between these teams have historically been high-scoring, averaging 3.4 goals per game with both teams scoring in eight of the last ten meetings.
Availability

Team news

Paris Saint Germain

  • O. DembeleThigh Injury
  • K. KvaratskheliaKnee Injury
  • MarquinhosThigh Injury
  • N. MendesMuscle Injury
  • A. LongoniInjury

Lyon

  • L. OpendaLeg Injury
  • M. OuedraogoKnee Injury
  • N. TagliaficoMuscle Injury
  • P. SulcKnee Injury
  • A. HamdaniInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Paris Saint Germain at homeLyon away
2
Played
3
1-0-1
W-D-L
1-1-1
—
Scored /game
1
—
Conceded /game
0.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
100%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%
Players

Key players this season

Paris Saint Germain

  • Ferran Torres4G

Lyon

  • Z. Athekame3A
  • P. Šulc3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1LyonChampions League league stage7+814
2Paris Saint GermainChampions League league stage7+514
3Paris FCChampions League league stage7+514
4LilleQualifying7+514
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
7
Paris Saint Germain
1
Draws
2
Lyon

Paris Saint Germain have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-04-19Paris Saint Germain1-2Lyon
  • 2025-11-09Lyon2-3Paris Saint Germain
  • 2025-02-23Lyon2-3Paris Saint Germain
  • 2024-12-15Paris Saint Germain3-1Lyon
  • 2024-05-25Lyon1-2Paris Saint Germain
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Paris Saint Germain or Draw
76%
Confidence

Paris Saint Germain have established strong momentum with five consecutive wins across all competitions, scoring at least two goals in each of those matches. Lyon lead the standings on goal difference but have stumbled on the road recently, suffering losses at Lens and Hoffenheim. Although Paris Saint Germain carry several notable defensive absences, Lyon are also missing key attacking personnel such as Lois Openda and Pavel Sulc. With Paris winning seven of the past ten head-to-head encounters and Lyon showing vulnerability away from home, the hosts have a strong probability of securing at least a point.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.