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Mon 14 Sept · 20:15

Moreirense vs Maritimo prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Referee: Fabio Melo, Portugal

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Moreirense

30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Maritimo

39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Maritimo or Draw

BetGenius backs Maritimo or Draw (Double Chance) at 66% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

66%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Moreirense welcome Maritimo to the Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas for matchday six of the Primeira Liga campaign. The hosts sit 13th in the table with four points from their opening five fixtures, having suffered three defeats while conceding twelve goals across that run. Their home record includes a 2-2 draw with SC Braga and a 4-0 defeat against Benfica.

Maritimo occupy ninth position with seven points from their five matches, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses. They arrive seeking to rebound from consecutive defeats against Arouca and Benfica, but their earlier results included a 2-1 away victory over Famalicao and a 1-0 home triumph against Casa Pia.

Historical encounters between these sides have tended to be tight and low-scoring, with the ten-match head-to-head record producing an average of just 2.1 goals per match. With both sides looking to stabilise their defensive structures after recent setbacks, a closely contested encounter is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

Moreirense have conceded twelve goals in five league matches, averaging 2.4 goals against per game.
Moreirense remain without a win on home soil this season, recording one draw and one defeat.
Maritimo hold a three-point advantage over Moreirense in the standings after five rounds.
Seven of the previous ten head-to-head meetings between these teams produced under 2.5 goals.
Maritimo have scored in four of their five league matches so far this season.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Moreirense at homeMaritimo away

Played

1-1-2

W-D-L

1-1-2

1.3

Scored /game

1.3

Conceded /game

1.8

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Moreirense at home plus Maritimo away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
9	SC Braga	8	-1	11
10	Estrela	8	-1	10
11	Vitória SC	9	0	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Maritimo	9	-10	8
14	Famalicao	8	-1	7
15	Rio Ave	8	-9	7
16	NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)	8	-9	4

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

4
Moreirense: 3
Draws: 3
Maritimo

Moreirense have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

2022-03-06Moreirense0-1Maritimo
2021-10-01Maritimo0-0Moreirense
2021-03-07Maritimo0-2Moreirense
2020-10-25Moreirense2-1Maritimo
2020-03-08Moreirense2-0Maritimo

BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

70%49 won from 70 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST

Double Chance

Maritimo or Draw

66%

Confidence

Maritimo have collected seven points from their first five matches and have shown capability on the road, notably securing a 2-1 win at Famalicao. Moreirense have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding twelve goals across five league games and remaining winless at home this season with a draw and a defeat. Backing Maritimo to avoid defeat offers solid coverage across the most probable match outcomes.

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