BetGenius
Round
Group Stage - 1
Venue
Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Referee
V. Kabore
Form

Recent form

Malawi
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

South Sudan
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + BTTS No

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + BTTS No (Combo Bet) at 74% confidence — a solid call.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Malawi open their AFCON Qualification group stage campaign against South Sudan in a fixture that historically features low scoring margins and tight defensive battles. The hosts have struggled to find fluidity in attack in recent months, managing only two goals across their last five matches, but their defensive shape has remained relatively disciplined, conceding only three times in that same run.

South Sudan arrive having shown severe attacking inconsistency. While they produced an emphatic 4-0 away win against Djibouti in March 2026, they failed to score in their other four recent fixtures, including a 1-0 home defeat to Djibouti and heavy defeats to Senegal and Syria.

Previous meetings between these two nations reinforce the expectation of a tight encounter. Across their three competitive head-to-head fixtures, no match has ever produced more than two goals, with Malawi winning both past AFCON qualification encounters by a 1-0 scoreline.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Malawi at homeSouth Sudan away
1
Played
2
1-0-0
W-D-L
1-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

2
Malawi
0
Draws
1
South Sudan

Malawi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2021-03-24South Sudan0-1Malawi
  • 2019-11-13Malawi1-0South Sudan
  • 2015-11-27South Sudan2-0Malawi
BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + BTTS No
74%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 78% confidence

All five of Malawi's recent fixtures have stayed under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 1-1, 0-1, 0-1, 0-0, and 1-0. Historical head-to-head meetings between Malawi and South Sudan have averaged just 1.33 goals per game, with all three past encounters finishing under the 2.5 total line.

No — 74% confidence

South Sudan have failed to find the net in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Furthermore, the head-to-head record between these two sides shows a zero percent rate of both teams scoring across three previous meetings, with every contest ending in a shutout for one side.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
74%
Confidence

South Sudan have failed to find the net in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Furthermore, the head-to-head record between these two sides shows a zero percent rate of both teams scoring across three previous meetings, with every contest ending in a shutout for one side.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
78%
Confidence

All five of Malawi's recent fixtures have stayed under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 1-1, 0-1, 0-1, 0-0, and 1-0. Historical head-to-head meetings between Malawi and South Sudan have averaged just 1.33 goals per game, with all three past encounters finishing under the 2.5 total line.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Malawi or Draw
71%
Confidence

Malawi have won both of their prior AFCON qualification matches against South Sudan by 1-0 scorelines. Backing the home side to avoid defeat covers both the draw and a home victory against a South Sudan side that has lost three of their last five games.

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Published September 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.