BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Madalena
36Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Lusitânia Lourosa
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Lusitânia Lourosa to win

BetGenius backs Lusitânia Lourosa to win (Match Winner) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Madalena host Lusitânia Lourosa in the Round of 128 of the Taça de Portugal, looking to build on their high-scoring 5-2 victory away at SC Barreiro in the previous stage of the competition. That win ended a sequence of cup exits in recent years where Madalena had failed to find the net in three consecutive ties.

Lusitânia Lourosa arrive in commanding form, having gone unbeaten across their last five matches. That run includes four victories over Sporting CP B, AVS, Academica, and Amarante, alongside a high-scoring 2-2 draw with Torreense, showcasing consistent offensive output with multiple goals scored in four of those five outings.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lusitânia Lourosa enter the fixture on a five-match unbeaten run with four victories and one draw.
  2. Lusitânia Lourosa have scored in all five of their recent matches, netting two goals in four separate games.
  3. Madalena conceded twice even in their 5-2 win at SC Barreiro, showing defensive vulnerability.
  4. Prior to their recent win, Madalena had failed to score in three consecutive Taça de Portugal fixtures dating back to 2020.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Madalena at homeLusitânia Lourosa away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
—
BTTS (last 5)
80%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Lusitânia Lourosa to win
72%
Confidence

Lusitânia Lourosa have established strong momentum over recent weeks, winning four of their last five matches and scoring at least once in every fixture. Their victories against higher-level competition such as Academica, Sporting CP B, and AVS demonstrate quality and attacking consistency. While Madalena secured a 5-2 victory in their previous cup fixture, their prior record in this competition shows recurring difficulties against stronger setups, giving Lusitânia Lourosa a clear advantage to secure the win in regular time.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.