BetGenius
Round
League D - 2
Venue
Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
Referee
Menelaos Antoniou, Cyprus
Form

Recent form

Lithuania
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Azerbaijan
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Lithuania or Draw

BetGenius backs Lithuania or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lithuania host Azerbaijan in League D of the UEFA Nations League following a 2-0 away victory against Liechtenstein. The hosts have recorded two wins across their last five fixtures, both secured with clean sheets in 2-0 victories against Liechtenstein and Moldova. A. Dolžnikov got on the scoresheet while A. Kučys registered an assist in their latest competitive outing.

Azerbaijan arrive having posted a 2-1 win over San Marino and a 0-2 defeat against Malta in recent matches. The visitors have conceded in each of their last five outings across all competitions, failing to keep a clean sheet across that span and conceding multiple goals against Malta and France.

With Lithuania showing defensive resilience in recent competitive action and Azerbaijan struggling to keep opponents off the scoresheet, the home side are well-positioned to claim a positive result in a contest expected to stay tight.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lithuania won 2-0 against Liechtenstein last time out and have kept clean sheets in two of their last five matches.
  2. Azerbaijan have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five fixtures across all competitions.
  3. The only recorded head-to-head meeting between Lithuania and Azerbaijan finished in a 0-0 draw.
  4. All five of Lithuania's last five fixtures have produced two or fewer total goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lithuania at homeAzerbaijan away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%
History

Head-to-head

0
Lithuania
2
Draws
0
Azerbaijan

all 2 of the last meetings between these two ended level.

  • 2026-09-27Lithuania1-1Azerbaijan
  • 2019-03-25Azerbaijan0-0Lithuania
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Lithuania or Draw
68%
Confidence

Lithuania come into this contest following a 2-0 victory over Liechtenstein and have kept clean sheets in two of their last five fixtures. Azerbaijan have conceded in all five of their recent outings, including a 0-2 loss to Malta. Backing Lithuania to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes in what projects to be a low-scoring encounter.

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Published September 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.