Lithuania or Draw — 72% confidence
Liechtenstein have suffered four defeats in their last five fixtures, conceding 15 goals in total and losing recent games against Cyprus (0-2), Andorra (0-2), and Aruba (1-4). Lithuania have been more competitive in comparable fixtures, having secured an away win over Moldova (2-0) and a draw with Latvia (1-1) over their last five games.
Under 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence
Both sides have shown severe limitations in attack in their recent fixtures. Liechtenstein have scored only two goals across their last five matches, failing to score in four of them. Lithuania have similarly struggled to generate goals, seeing under 2.5 total goals in four of their last five matches, including consecutive low-scoring matches against Estonia (0-1), Latvia (1-1), Georgia (0-2), and Moldova (2-0).
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

