BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 34
Venue
Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Referee
K. Kulljastinen
Form

Recent form

Laagri
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +15 goal difference

Flora Tallinn
54Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Flora Tallinn or Draw

BetGenius backs Flora Tallinn or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Flora Tallinn come into the match as the clear league leaders in the top‑two, sitting on 58 points and a solid goal difference. Their season average of 1.9 goals scored per game and a tight defence conceding just 1.4 make them a well‑rounded side. Laagri have improved dramatically in recent weeks, winning four of their last five games – including two clean‑sheet home victories – but their overall record (14‑2‑16) and goal difference of –2 still lag behind Flora.

Head‑to‑head the numbers are heavily in Flora’s favour: in the ten previous meetings they have won nine, with the most recent clash a 1‑0 home win. The meetings have produced an average of 3.1 goals, and 60% of those games went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have full‑time clean‑sheet tallies of ten this season, but Flora’s attack has been more consistent.

With Flora’s superior league position, stronger overall statistics and a dominant historical record, they are expected to avoid defeat, while the goal‑rich nature of the rivalry points to a game with more than two goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Flora sit second in the table with 58 points, ten points clear of Laagri’s 44
  2. Flora have won nine of the last ten meetings, the most recent 1‑0 at home
  3. Laagri’s last five form includes four wins, two clean sheets at home
  4. Both teams have ten clean sheets this season, but Flora score more (1.9 gpg vs 1.4 gpg)
  5. Average goals in the head‑to‑head are 3.1, with 60% of games over 2.5 goals
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Laagri at homeFlora Tallinn away
17
Played
15
8-2-7
W-D-L
9-1-5
1.6
Scored /game
1.7
1.2
Conceded /game
1.5
47%
Clean sheets
27%
18%
Failed to score
20%
0%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Laagri at home plus Flora Tallinn away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
History

Head-to-head

2
Laagri
0
Draws
8
Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-21Laagri3-1Flora Tallinn
  • 2026-08-02Flora Tallinn1-0Laagri
  • 2026-04-30Flora Tallinn5-0Laagri
  • 2026-03-22Laagri2-0Flora Tallinn
  • 2025-10-04Laagri1-2Flora Tallinn
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Flora Tallinn or Draw
72%
Confidence

Flora’s 14‑point cushion over Laagri, better goal‑scoring average and a 9‑1 head‑to‑head record indicate they are the stronger side. Laagri’s recent home surge narrows the gap but does not erase Flora’s advantage, making a win or draw for the away team the most supported outcome. The historical goal average of 3.1 and a 60% over‑2.5 rate further suggest the match will produce at least three goals, justifying the OVER 2.5 call.

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Published October 20, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.