BetGenius
Round
Playoff round
Venue
Vare Areena, Kuopio
Referee
P. Kolaric
Form

Recent form

KuPS
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference

Shamrock Rovers
46Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
KuPS or Draw

BetGenius backs KuPS or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

KuPS host Shamrock Rovers in the decisive second leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff tie following a 1-1 draw in Dublin on August 20. The Finnish side managed to secure an away goal and will look to capitalize on home advantage to progress into the group stage.

Both teams enter this encounter showing persistent defensive vulnerabilities alongside reliable scoring output. KuPS have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 4-2 defeat to Mariehamn and a 2-1 victory over Lahti. Shamrock Rovers have similarly struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding five at Egnatia Rrogozhinë and three against St Patrick's Athletic in recent outings, while continuing to score consistently.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. The first leg between the two sides finished in a 1-1 stalemate on August 20.
  2. KuPS have seen both teams score in 100% of their last five matches across all competitions.
  3. Shamrock Rovers have conceded nine goals across their last two away matches (5 at Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 3 at St Patrick's Athletic).
  4. Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their recent recorded fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

KuPS at homeShamrock Rovers away
2
Played
16
1-0-1
W-D-L
6-5-5
—
Scored /game
1.3
—
Conceded /game
1.1
—
Clean sheets
31%
—
Failed to score
31%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2-70
History

Head-to-head

0
KuPS
1
Draws
0
Shamrock Rovers

all 1 of the last meeting between these two ended level.

  • 2026-08-20Shamrock Rovers1-1KuPS
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
KuPS or Draw
70%
Confidence

KuPS earned a balanced 1-1 result in Dublin and now return home, where they should hold the upper hand in controlling tempo. Shamrock Rovers have had significant defensive lapses on recent travels, conceding five goals away at Egnatia Rrogozhinë and three away at St Patrick's Athletic, making KuPS to avoid defeat the sturdiest outcome call.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%
Confidence

Both teams have consistently demonstrated offensive potency paired with defensive fragility. Every recorded completed fixture in KuPS's last five outings has seen both teams score (2-4, 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-1), and Shamrock Rovers have similarly seen both teams find the net in each of their last four recorded matches (1-1, 2-3, 1-5, 3-2), including their 1-1 draw in the first leg.

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Published August 26, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.