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Sun 30 Aug · 13:00

Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction

Follow Kaspiy Follow FK Tobol Kostanay Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 24
Venue: Zhestar Stadium, Aktau
Referee: G. Chekhovsky

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Kaspiy

35Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -3 goal difference

FK Tobol Kostanay

79Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Kaspiy or Draw

BetGenius backs Kaspiy or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Kaspiy welcome FK Tobol Kostanay to Aktau in round 24 of the Premier League, aiming to build on a competitive home record and widen the gap to the lower places in the table. Kaspiy enter the matchday in 11th position on 23 points, while Tobol sit four places higher in 7th with 28 points.

The dynamic of this clash is heavily shaped by venue splits. Kaspiy have taken four wins and three draws from 10 home matches, finding the net 16 times and failing to score in only one home outing. Their recent home fixtures include a 2-2 draw with Yelimay Semey, a 1-1 draw against Ulytau, and a 3-2 victory over Zhenys.

In contrast, FK Tobol Kostanay have suffered from stark away vulnerabilities throughout the campaign. While formidable on their own ground, Tobol have managed just one win and two draws from 12 away games, suffering nine defeats and averaging 0.7 goals scored per trip on the road. That sharp home-away disparity provides Kaspiy with a strong opportunity to secure points.

Analysis

Key factors

FK Tobol Kostanay have won just 1 of their 12 away league matches this season, suffering 9 defeats.
Kaspiy have stayed unbeaten in 7 of their 10 home fixtures (4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses).
Tobol average only 0.7 goals scored per away match, failing to score in 5 of 12 road fixtures.
Kaspiy have failed to score in just 1 of their 10 home games, scoring 16 goals in that span.
The 9 historical head-to-head encounters between the teams have averaged 1.78 goals per match, with 66.7% staying under 2.5 goals.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kaspiy at homeFK Tobol Kostanay away

Played

5-3-5

W-D-L

2-2-10

1.4

Scored /game

0.9

1.5

Conceded /game

1.5

23%

Clean sheets

15%

Failed to score

43%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Kaspiy at home plus FK Tobol Kostanay away).

Players

Key players this season

FK Tobol Kostanay

M. Vukčević1G · 1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	28	+5	48
5	Aktobe	28	+7	45
6	Yelimay Semey	28	+2	44
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	28	+1	40
8	Ulytau	28	-7	35
9	Kaspiy	28	-8	33
10	Zhenys	28	-9	32
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	28	-10	28
12	Atyrau	27	-7	27

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Kaspiy: 2
Draws: 5
FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Tobol Kostanay have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

2026-08-30Kaspiy1-0FK Tobol Kostanay
2026-04-26FK Tobol Kostanay2-1Kaspiy
2023-10-21FK Tobol Kostanay1-1Kaspiy
2023-03-10Kaspiy0-1FK Tobol Kostanay
2022-06-19FK Tobol Kostanay1-0Kaspiy

BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

47%27 won from 58 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Kaspiy or Draw

72%

Confidence

Kaspiy have avoided defeat in 7 of their 10 home league fixtures (4 wins, 3 draws) and consistently generate scoring chances at home, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Meanwhile, FK Tobol Kostanay have won only 1 of their 12 away fixtures in the league (1 win, 2 draws, 9 losses), averaging just 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per away trip. Backing Kaspiy on the double chance offers strong value grounded in Tobol's persistent away struggles.

Explore

Kaspiy vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

FK Tobol Kostanay

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Premier League

1 published market

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