BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Referee
J. Jakobson
Form

Recent form

Kalju Nomme
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -3 goal difference

Trans Narva
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Trans Narva Under 1.5 Goals + Kalju Nomme or Draw

BetGenius backs Trans Narva Under 1.5 Goals + Kalju Nomme or Draw (Combo Bet) at 74% confidence — a solid call.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kalju Nomme host Trans Narva in round 28 of the Meistriliiga looking to arrest a difficult spell of league form. Sitting in fourth position with 44 points, Kalju have experienced a five-game losing streak across all competitions, conceding 10 goals in that span. However, they return to home turf where they have compiled six victories and scored 30 goals in 14 matches this campaign.

Trans Narva sit bottom of the table in 10th place with 18 points and a minus-41 goal difference. Their struggles have been particularly acute away from home, where they have lost 11 of 13 matches, scoring only five goals while conceding 38 across the league season.

While Trans Narva secured a 2-0 home win in the cup against Kalju Nomme late last month, Kalju won all three previous league encounters between the sides in 2026 by scorelines of 2-1, 3-0, and 2-0. Trans Narva will need to overcome severe offensive limitations on the road to challenge the hosts.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kalju Nomme at homeTrans Narva away
15
Played
14
7-3-5
W-D-L
1-1-12
2.1
Scored /game
0.4
1.1
Conceded /game
2.9
20%
Clean sheets
7%
7%
Failed to score
71%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Kalju Nomme at home plus Trans Narva away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga33-4920
History

Head-to-head

5
Kalju Nomme
2
Draws
3
Trans Narva

Kalju Nomme have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game.

  • 2026-08-26Trans Narva2-0Kalju Nomme
  • 2026-08-08Trans Narva0-2Kalju Nomme
  • 2026-05-01Trans Narva0-3Kalju Nomme
  • 2026-04-03Kalju Nomme2-1Trans Narva
  • 2025-09-17Trans Narva0-0Kalju Nomme
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Trans Narva Under 1.5 Goals + Kalju Nomme or Draw
74%
Both must land · no better than

Trans Narva Under 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Trans Narva have scored just five goals in 13 away league games this season, averaging 0.4 goals per match on the road. They have also failed to score in nine of those 13 away fixtures, making it probable they remain under the 1.5 goal mark in this fixture.

Kalju Nomme or Draw — 76% confidence

Kalju Nomme hold a significant 26-point advantage over bottom-placed Trans Narva in the standings. Although Kalju have lost five consecutive matches, Trans Narva have struggled badly on their travels, suffering 11 defeats in 13 away league fixtures. Backing the hosts on the double chance accounts for recent home form while reflecting the visitors poor away record.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Kalju Nomme or Draw
76%
Confidence

Kalju Nomme hold a significant 26-point advantage over bottom-placed Trans Narva in the standings. Although Kalju have lost five consecutive matches, Trans Narva have struggled badly on their travels, suffering 11 defeats in 13 away league fixtures. Backing the hosts on the double chance accounts for recent home form while reflecting the visitors poor away record.

Combo BetWON
Team Total Goals
Trans Narva Under 1.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Trans Narva have scored just five goals in 13 away league games this season, averaging 0.4 goals per match on the road. They have also failed to score in nine of those 13 away fixtures, making it probable they remain under the 1.5 goal mark in this fixture.

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Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.