BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Form

Recent form

Gillingham
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Port Vale
91Excellent

Last 3 matches · 3W-0D-0L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Gillingham or Draw

BetGenius backs Gillingham or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Gillingham host Port Vale in a League Two clash that could see the home side push further into the promotion play‑off places while the visitors linger near the bottom of the table. Gillingham sit sixth with 16 points from 11 games and a modest goal difference, whereas Port Vale are 21st with 11 points from nine matches and a negative goal difference.

Gillingham have been decent at home, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceding just 0.8. Their recent five matches include two wins, a draw and two losses, highlighted by a 4‑3 home victory over Brighton U21. Port Vale, however, are vulnerable away, managing only 0.3 goals per game on the road and conceding an average of two. Their last five fixtures feature three home wins but a string of away defeats.

The head‑to‑head record is balanced over ten meetings, but the most recent encounter saw Gillingham win 1‑0 away. Both sides have low scoring averages overall – 1.5 goals per game for Gillingham and 0.6 for Port Vale – suggesting a likely low‑scoring affair.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Gillingham are sixth in the table and fighting for a playoff spot, while Port Vale sit 21st near the relegation zone
  2. Gillingham concede only 0.8 goals per home game; Port Vale concede two per away game
  3. Port Vale have scored just 0.3 goals per game away from home
  4. Recent form shows Gillingham unbeaten in their last three matches and Vale winning only at home
  5. Head‑to‑head favours Gillingham with a 1‑0 win in the latest meeting
  6. Both teams have low overall scoring averages, indicating a likely under‑2.5 goal game
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Gillingham at homePort Vale away
5
Played
4
2-2-1
W-D-L
0-0-4
1.2
Scored /game
0.3
0.8
Conceded /game
2
60%
Clean sheets
—
40%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
—
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—

Combined scoring rate: 1.5 goals per game (Gillingham at home plus Port Vale away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4WalsallPromotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+919
5CheltenhamPromotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)12-118
6YorkPromotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+617
7GillinghamPromotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)12+317
8Shrewsbury12-417
9Chesterfield12+216
10Exeter City12+216
17Grimsby12014
18Fleetwood Town12-114
19Colchester11-312
20Port Vale10-412
21Oldham11-411
22Rotherham12-611
23NorthamptonRelegation - National League10-210
History

Head-to-head

3
Gillingham
3
Draws
3
Port Vale

the last 9 meetings are split 3-3 with 3 drawn, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2025-05-03Port Vale0-1Gillingham
  • 2024-11-09Gillingham1-0Port Vale
  • 2017-02-11Gillingham1-1Port Vale
  • 2016-09-17Port Vale2-1Gillingham
  • 2016-04-16Gillingham0-2Port Vale
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Gillingham or Draw
75%
Confidence

Gillingham’s stronger league position, solid home defensive record and Port Vale’s poor away form give the home side a clear edge, though the match is not a one‑sided affair. The double‑chance on home or draw covers the most probable outcomes while the low scoring averages of both clubs support an under‑2.5 goal result.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 20, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.