Tromso have dominated this matchup in recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five head-to-head games while keeping five consecutive clean sheets against Fredrikstad. Sitting third in the Eliteserien standings with 38 points, Tromso possess greater depth and attacking quality through H. Larsen and R. Jenssen. Meanwhile, Fredrikstad are hindered by defensive absences with I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes suspended and S. Kvile out injured. Although Tromso have been occasionally fragile on their travels, backing them to take at least a point covers both an away victory and a competitive draw.
Fredrikstad vs Tromso prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 23
- Venue
- Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
- Referee
- Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 4 matches · 1W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Tromso or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Fredrikstad welcome third-placed Tromso to Fredrikstad Stadion for round 23 of the Eliteserien season. The hosts sit eighth in the table on 28 points, having recorded eight wins, four draws, and nine defeats across their 21 league outings. Fredrikstad have shown reasonable solidity on their own ground with five victories from ten home matches, but their recent sequence in the league has seen mixed results, including a 2-1 home loss to Bodo/Glimt and a 1-1 home draw against Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Tromso travel south holding a European qualification spot with 38 points from 21 matches, buoyed by an attack that has generated 40 league goals. Top scorer H. Larsen leads their line with ten goals, while creator R. Jenssen has provided eight assists. Although Tromso have experienced defensive vulnerabilities on the road, where they concede an average of two goals per game, their overall quality and attacking productivity have kept them firmly among the league leaders.
The historical record strongly favors the visitors, as Fredrikstad have failed to defeat Tromso across their last five encounters, suffering three losses and earning two draws without scoring a single goal. With Fredrikstad also missing I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes through suspension alongside injuries to S. Kvile and J. Nysveen, Tromso hold the edge to secure at least a share of the points.
Key factors
- Tromso are unbeaten in the last five head-to-head encounters with Fredrikstad, winning three and drawing two.
- Fredrikstad failed to score in any of their previous five fixtures against Tromso.
- Fredrikstad are missing suspended pair I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes, alongside injured options S. Kvile and J. Nysveen.
- Tromso hold third position in the Eliteserien table with a ten-point advantage over eighth-placed Fredrikstad.
- Tromso boast potent attacking weapons in H. Larsen, who has ten league goals, and R. Jenssen, who has recorded eight assists.
Team news
Fredrikstad
- S. KvileKnee Injury
- J. NysveenInjury
- D. EidYellow Cards
Tromso
- S. PrestmoInjury
- M. TonnessenInjury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Fredrikstad at home plus Tromso away).
Key players this season
Tromso
- H. Larsen10G
- R. Jenssen8A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 23 | +38 | 56 |
| 2 | VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 23 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 23 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 | TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 23 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | +12 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 23 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | -9 | 29 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | -6 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | -8 | 26 |
Head-to-head
- 0
- Fredrikstad
- 3
- Draws
- 3
- Tromso
Tromso have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.
- 2026-10-11Fredrikstad1-1Tromso
- 2026-03-15Tromso4-0Fredrikstad
- 2025-08-02Tromso0-0Fredrikstad
- 2025-06-29Fredrikstad0-1Tromso
- 2024-05-29Tromso3-0Fredrikstad
Our record in Eliteserien
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

