BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 23
Venue
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Referee
Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway
Form

Recent form

Fredrikstad
44Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Tromso
59Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Tromso or Draw

BetGenius backs Tromso or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Fredrikstad welcome third-placed Tromso to Fredrikstad Stadion for round 23 of the Eliteserien season. The hosts sit eighth in the table on 28 points, having recorded eight wins, four draws, and nine defeats across their 21 league outings. Fredrikstad have shown reasonable solidity on their own ground with five victories from ten home matches, but their recent sequence in the league has seen mixed results, including a 2-1 home loss to Bodo/Glimt and a 1-1 home draw against Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Tromso travel south holding a European qualification spot with 38 points from 21 matches, buoyed by an attack that has generated 40 league goals. Top scorer H. Larsen leads their line with ten goals, while creator R. Jenssen has provided eight assists. Although Tromso have experienced defensive vulnerabilities on the road, where they concede an average of two goals per game, their overall quality and attacking productivity have kept them firmly among the league leaders.

The historical record strongly favors the visitors, as Fredrikstad have failed to defeat Tromso across their last five encounters, suffering three losses and earning two draws without scoring a single goal. With Fredrikstad also missing I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes through suspension alongside injuries to S. Kvile and J. Nysveen, Tromso hold the edge to secure at least a share of the points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Tromso are unbeaten in the last five head-to-head encounters with Fredrikstad, winning three and drawing two.
  2. Fredrikstad failed to score in any of their previous five fixtures against Tromso.
  3. Fredrikstad are missing suspended pair I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes, alongside injured options S. Kvile and J. Nysveen.
  4. Tromso hold third position in the Eliteserien table with a ten-point advantage over eighth-placed Fredrikstad.
  5. Tromso boast potent attacking weapons in H. Larsen, who has ten league goals, and R. Jenssen, who has recorded eight assists.
Availability

Team news

Fredrikstad

  • S. KvileKnee Injury
  • J. NysveenInjury
  • D. EidYellow Cards

Tromso

  • S. PrestmoInjury
  • M. TonnessenInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Fredrikstad at homeTromso away
11
Played
11
5-3-3
W-D-L
4-3-4
1.3
Scored /game
1.8
1.1
Conceded /game
1.9
18%
Clean sheets
18%
9%
Failed to score
27%
—
BTTS (last 5)
100%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Fredrikstad at home plus Tromso away).

Players

Key players this season

Tromso

  • H. Larsen10G
  • R. Jenssen8A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3856
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3756
3MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1740
4TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1140
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
7Brann23+329
8Fredrikstad23-829
9KFUM Oslo23-929
10Sarpsborg 08 FF23-628
11Valerenga23-826
History

Head-to-head

0
Fredrikstad
3
Draws
3
Tromso

Tromso have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-11Fredrikstad1-1Tromso
  • 2026-03-15Tromso4-0Fredrikstad
  • 2025-08-02Tromso0-0Fredrikstad
  • 2025-06-29Fredrikstad0-1Tromso
  • 2024-05-29Tromso3-0Fredrikstad
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

84%57 won from 68 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Tromso or Draw
72%
Confidence

Tromso have dominated this matchup in recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five head-to-head games while keeping five consecutive clean sheets against Fredrikstad. Sitting third in the Eliteserien standings with 38 points, Tromso possess greater depth and attacking quality through H. Larsen and R. Jenssen. Meanwhile, Fredrikstad are hindered by defensive absences with I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes suspended and S. Kvile out injured. Although Tromso have been occasionally fragile on their travels, backing them to take at least a point covers both an away victory and a competitive draw.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.