Full time

3-2

Sun 20 Sept · 17:00

Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus prediction

Follow Flora Tallinn Follow Vaprus Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 29
Venue: A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Referee: K. Koppel

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Flora Tallinn

54Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Vaprus

35Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner

Flora Tallinn to win

BetGenius backs Flora Tallinn to win (Match Winner) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Flora Tallinn welcome Vaprus in round 29 of the Meistriliiga, looking to solidify second place in the table. The hosts have accumulated 52 points from 28 matches and enter this contest on a four-game unbeaten run in league play, having scored ten goals across their last four fixtures.

Vaprus sit seventh in the standings on 34 points with a goal difference of minus 17. Their away form has been particularly vulnerable this season, suffering nine defeats in 14 road outings while conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game outside their home ground.

Flora have dominated this fixture in recent meetings, winning eight of the last ten encounters across all competitions. That includes victories in all three competitive head-to-head clashes between the sides in 2026, positioning the hosts as solid favourites on home turf.

Analysis

Key factors

Flora Tallinn have won all three Meistriliiga meetings against Vaprus in 2026.
Vaprus have lost 9 of their 14 away league matches this season, conceding 32 goals in the process.
Flora have scored 30 goals across 14 home games, averaging 2.1 goals per match on home soil.
Flora are unbeaten in their last four league matches, scoring ten goals in that span.
The head-to-head history shows eight Flora wins in the previous ten meetings between the two clubs.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Flora Tallinn at homeVaprus away

Played

10-0-7

W-D-L

3-2-9

2.1

Scored /game

0.9

1.3

Conceded /game

2.3

35%

Clean sheets

14%

Failed to score

29%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Flora Tallinn at home plus Vaprus away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)	32	+65	81
2	Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	33	+16	58
3	PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	32	+13	57
4	Kalju Nomme	32	+21	51
5	Tammeka	33	-5	50
6	Laagri	33	0	47
7	Vaprus	33	-22	36
8	Kuressaare	32	-17	35
9	Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)	33	-22	34
10	Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga	33	-49	20

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

8
Flora Tallinn: 1
Draws: 1
Vaprus

Flora Tallinn have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

2026-08-23Vaprus1-2Flora Tallinn
2026-06-16Vaprus1-2Flora Tallinn
2026-04-12Flora Tallinn2-0Vaprus
2026-01-17Vaprus2-2Flora Tallinn
2025-11-08Vaprus0-3Flora Tallinn

BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Match Winner

Flora Tallinn to win

75%

Confidence

Flora Tallinn possess a substantial advantage across multiple indicators. They hold an 18-point cushion over Vaprus in the standings and average 2.1 goals scored per home match. Head-to-head history heavily favours Flora, who have won eight of the last ten meetings, including all three league matchups in 2026 by scores of 2-0, 2-1, and 2-1. Meanwhile, Vaprus have lost nine of their 14 away matches and conceded 32 goals on their travels.

Explore

Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Meistriliiga

1 published market

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Our previous calls on this fixture

Other Meistriliiga predictions

Teams around them in the table