BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Referee
Davide Massa, Italy
Form

Recent form

Fiorentina
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Torino
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Fiorentina host Torino at the Stadio Artemio Franchi with both sides eager to kick-start their Serie A campaign after difficult opening fixtures. The hosts find themselves at the bottom of the table following back-to-back defeats without scoring a goal, having conceded seven in their opening two league games. They also have injury concerns out wide with Fabiano Parisi and Riccardo Sottil ruled out.

Torino have similarly suffered consecutive league defeats, though they have been more competitive on the scoreboard, finding the net in their losses against AC Milan and Sassuolo. The visitors arrive with several squad absences of their own, including Pietro Pellegri and Franco Israel, alongside Cesare Casadei who is rested.

Historically, this fixture is defined by tight, low-scoring encounters. Five of the last ten meetings between these two sides have ended in draws, with an average of only 1.8 goals per game across that span and 70 percent of matches staying below the 2.5 goal line.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Fiorentina and Torino have produced under 2.5 goals.
  2. The historical average across their last ten encounters sits at just 1.8 goals per match.
  3. Fiorentina have failed to find the net in both of their opening Serie A fixtures.
  4. Five of the last ten fixtures between these two teams have ended in draws, highlighting the typically cautious nature of this match-up.
Availability

Team news

Fiorentina

  • R. SottilBack Injury

Torino

  • P. PellegriJumpers Knee
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Fiorentina at homeTorino away
4
Played
4
0-1-3
W-D-L
2-1-1
0.8
Scored /game
1.8
2.3
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Fiorentina at home plus Torino away).

Players

Key players this season

Torino

  • R. Belghali3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
15Bologna7-45
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
18FiorentinaRelegation7-94
19ParmaRelegation7-94
20VeneziaRelegation7-103
History

Head-to-head

3
Fiorentina
5
Draws
2
Torino

Fiorentina have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-05Fiorentina1-2Torino
  • 2026-02-07Fiorentina2-2Torino
  • 2025-08-31Torino0-0Fiorentina
  • 2025-01-19Fiorentina1-1Torino
  • 2024-11-03Torino0-1Fiorentina
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Recent head-to-head encounters between Fiorentina and Torino have been consistently low-scoring, averaging just 1.8 goals across the past ten meetings with under 2.5 goals hitting in seven of those matches. Fiorentina enter this fixture having failed to score in their opening two league fixtures, while Torino have averaged exactly one goal scored per match across their league fixtures this season. With both sides under early-season pressure to tighten up defensively, another closely contested, low-scoring affair is expected.

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Published September 3, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.