Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Matches between these two sides frequently produce goals, with eight of the past ten head-to-head encounters clearing the 2.5 goal mark at an average of three goals per game. Fiorentina have conceded an average of 2.8 goals per match in Serie A this season, while Napoli have scored four times across their two away league games.
Napoli or Draw — 75% confidence
Napoli have won the previous four head-to-head fixtures against Fiorentina, scoring ten goals in that sequence. Fiorentina have struggled for consistency in Serie A, losing three of their four league games and dropping points in both home fixtures. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers two of the three match outcomes while reflecting their dominant recent record in this matchup.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.