BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 29
Venue
TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Referee
Rubiel Vazquez
Form

Recent form

FC Cincinnati
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

New England Revolution
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
FC Cincinnati or Draw + BTTS Yes

BetGenius backs FC Cincinnati or Draw + BTTS Yes (Combo Bet) at 58% confidence — a moderate call.

58%
Confidence
Moderate
Preview

Match preview

FC Cincinnati host New England Revolution in a late‑night MLS clash. Cincinnati have been solid at home all season with a 7‑3‑2 record, scoring 34 goals while conceding 24. Their overall form has been erratic, the last five games yielding one win, two draws and two defeats, highlighted by a 3‑1 win at Atlanta but a heavy 0‑5 loss at Philadelphia. Key attacker Evander is out injured along with O. Nwobodo and M. Robinson, which could blunt their offensive edge.

The Revolution come into the game with a strong home record (9‑2‑3) but have struggled away, managing only five wins from fourteen away fixtures. Their recent run includes three consecutive wins on the road, yet they have been shut out in their last two home matches, conceding three without reply each time. Injuries to M. Fofana, J. Harrison, A. Yusuf and L. Campana affect their midfield and defensive depth.

Historically the two sides have produced high‑scoring affairs. In nine head‑to‑head meetings the average total goals is 3.33 and both teams have found the net in roughly 78 % of those games. The most recent encounter was a 6‑1 victory for New England at home, the largest margin in the series. Recent goal‑scoring trends suggest each side will continue to create chances, with Cincinnati averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five and the Revolution 1.6.

Given Cincinnati’s home advantage, New England’s away vulnerability, and a history of open matches, the contest is poised to deliver at least two goals and likely feature both teams on the scoresheet.

Availability

Team news

FC Cincinnati

  • J. MartinezKnee Injury
  • J. MalatiniThigh Injury

New England Revolution

  • M. FofanaLower-Body Injury
  • J. HarrisonLower-Body Injury
  • A. YusufMuscle Injury
  • L. CampanaHamstring Injury

Team news last updated Oct 14 (10 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

FC Cincinnati at homeNew England Revolution away
14
Played
14
7-3-4
W-D-L
5-2-7
2.6
Scored /game
1.4
2.1
Conceded /game
1.6
14%
Clean sheets
7%
14%
Failed to score
21%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 4 goals per game (FC Cincinnati at home plus New England Revolution away).

Players

Key players this season

FC Cincinnati

  • K. Denkey17G
  • Evander9A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

4
FC Cincinnati
2
Draws
3
New England Revolution

FC Cincinnati have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2026-10-14FC Cincinnati2-3New England Revolution
  • 2026-03-15New England Revolution6-1FC Cincinnati
  • 2026-01-23New England Revolution1-1FC Cincinnati
  • 2025-06-14New England Revolution0-1FC Cincinnati
  • 2025-04-05FC Cincinnati1-0New England Revolution
BetGenius

Our record in Major League Soccer

68%19 won from 28 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
FC Cincinnati or Draw + BTTS Yes
58%
Both must land · no better than

FC Cincinnati or Draw — 65% confidence

Cincinnati’s home record (7‑3‑2) and decent scoring rate (2.8 goals per home game) give them a solid platform. New England have struggled away, winning only five of fourteen away fixtures and scoring just 1.4 goals per away game. Even with three attackers missing, Cincinnati should be able to avoid defeat, while the Revolution’s defensive record on the road (1.6 goals against) is not enough to secure a win.

BTTS Yes — 58% confidence

The head‑to‑head data shows both sides have scored in 78 % of meetings and the average total exceeds three goals. Cincinnati concede an average of 2.0 goals at home, while New England concede just 1.1 at home but have allowed two goals per game away. Recent matches indicate both clubs can find the net, supporting a high likelihood that both will score.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
65%
Confidence

Cincinnati’s home record (7‑3‑2) and decent scoring rate (2.8 goals per home game) give them a solid platform. New England have struggled away, winning only five of fourteen away fixtures and scoring just 1.4 goals per away game. Even with three attackers missing, Cincinnati should be able to avoid defeat, while the Revolution’s defensive record on the road (1.6 goals against) is not enough to secure a win.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
Confidence

The head‑to‑head data shows both sides have scored in 78 % of meetings and the average total exceeds three goals. Cincinnati concede an average of 2.0 goals at home, while New England concede just 1.1 at home but have allowed two goals per game away. Recent matches indicate both clubs can find the net, supporting a high likelihood that both will score.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
Confidence

Cincinnati’s home scoring rate (2.8 goals per match) combined with New England’s away conceding rate (1.6) suggests a baseline of over four goals. Recent form shows both teams averaging more than three goals per game, and the H2H average is 3.33 goals with a 55 % rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. These factors together make three‑plus goals a realistic outcome, whereas the evidence for merely two goals is weaker given the high‑scoring context.

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Published October 13, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.