BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Fátima
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Vinhais
5Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -11 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Fátima to win

BetGenius backs Fátima to win (Match Winner) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Fátima enter this Taça de Portugal encounter looking to bounce back from recent setbacks and leverage their home advantage. Across their recent home fixtures, Fátima have demonstrated potent attacking capabilities, highlighted by a 5-0 victory over Atlético Malveira and a 3-1 triumph against Benfica Castelo Branco.

Vinhais travel for this knockout fixture under challenging circumstances, having suffered five consecutive defeats across their documented fixtures. Their struggles at both ends of the pitch have been pronounced, managing only two goals across those five games while conceding thirteen.

With Fátima showing far greater scoring output at home and Vinhais experiencing persistent defensive vulnerabilities on the road, the hosts carry the stronger probabilistic profile to progress.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Vinhais have suffered defeat in all five of their most recent fixtures, conceding 13 goals in total.
  2. Fátima have produced multi-goal performances in two of their last three home matches, scoring eight goals combined across those two wins.
  3. Vinhais have failed to score in three of their last four games, including consecutive away defeats by margins of 4-0 and 3-0.
  4. Fátima average three goals scored per match in their documented cup fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Fátima at homeVinhais away
2
Played
—
2-0-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Fátima to win
74%
Confidence

Fátima hold a notable form and scoring advantage heading into this cup tie. The home side has recorded decisive victories in two of their last three home fixtures, including a 5-0 win over Atlético Malveira and a 3-1 result against Benfica Castelo Branco. In contrast, Vinhais have lost each of their last five matches, conceding three or more goals in three of those fixtures while struggling to generate consistent attack.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.