BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia
Referee
Gero Piskov, Bulgaria
Form

Recent form

CSKA Sofia
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Cherno More Varna
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
CSKA Sofia or Draw

BetGenius backs CSKA Sofia or Draw (Double Chance) at 83% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

83%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

CSKA Sofia welcome Cherno More Varna to the capital in round 7 of the First League, looking to preserve their unbeaten start to the domestic campaign. The hosts sit third in the table with 13 points from five matches (four wins and one draw), boasting a prolific home record where they have scored 10 goals and conceded three across three straight league victories.

Cherno More Varna arrive in 10th position having collected four points from six fixtures (one win, one draw, and four defeats). The visitors have found life difficult on their travels, remaining winless away from home with one draw and two losses, scoring two goals while conceding six. Although they picked up a 3-1 home win against Dunav Ruse in their most recent league outing, their defensive record across the season shows 13 goals conceded in six games without a clean sheet.

Head-to-head encounters between these two sides have traditionally been low-scoring affairs. Across their previous 10 meetings, the average total goals stand at just 1.3 per match, with only 10% exceeding 2.5 goals and 30% featuring both teams scoring. While CSKA Sofia hold the superior form and table standing, historical encounters suggest a closely contested tactical battle.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in league play with 13 points from five matches (4W, 1D, 0L) and a +10 goal difference.
  2. Cherno More Varna are winless away from home in the league this season (0W, 1D, 2L), scoring only two goals on the road.
  3. The 10-match head-to-head record features an average of only 1.3 goals per game, with 90% of fixtures staying under 2.5 goals.
  4. Cherno More Varna have failed to record a clean sheet in any of their six league matches this season, conceding 13 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

CSKA Sofia at homeCherno More Varna away
1
Played
5
0-0-1
W-D-L
0-1-4
—
Scored /game
0.6
—
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
0%
—
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Levski SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)10+1928
2CSKA SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)11+1827
3LudogoretsPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)10+1426
4CSKA 1948Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)11+822
5Botev PlovdivPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11+319
11Lokomotiv Plovdivefbet League (Relegation Group)11-88
12Lokomotiv Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-78
13Septemvri Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-118
14Cherno More Varnaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-116
History

Head-to-head

2
CSKA Sofia
5
Draws
3
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.5 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30CSKA Sofia3-1Cherno More Varna
  • 2025-12-06Cherno More Varna2-0CSKA Sofia
  • 2025-08-09CSKA Sofia0-0Cherno More Varna
  • 2025-04-22CSKA Sofia2-1Cherno More Varna
  • 2025-04-09Cherno More Varna0-0CSKA Sofia
BetGenius

Our record in First League

67%33 won from 49 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
CSKA Sofia or Draw
83%
Confidence

CSKA Sofia remain unbeaten in First League action this season with four wins and a draw from five matches, including three home victories from three. Cherno More Varna have struggled away from home, picking up just one point from three away games (0-1-2). Given the active tier's hedging calibration, backing the hosts to win or draw covers the likelihood of Sofia maintaining their strong domestic form against a side with four league losses in six matches.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Historical head-to-head data shows that nine of the last 10 meetings between CSKA Sofia and Cherno More Varna finished with two or fewer goals, producing an average of only 1.3 goals per game. While CSKA have been productive at home, Cherno More have averaged just 0.7 goals scored per away match, making a lower total scoreline statistically well-supported.

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
CSKA Sofia or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Both must land · no better than

CSKA Sofia or Draw — 83% confidence

CSKA Sofia remain unbeaten in First League action this season with four wins and a draw from five matches, including three home victories from three. Cherno More Varna have struggled away from home, picking up just one point from three away games (0-1-2). Given the active tier's hedging calibration, backing the hosts to win or draw covers the likelihood of Sofia maintaining their strong domestic form against a side with four league losses in six matches.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Historical head-to-head data shows that nine of the last 10 meetings between CSKA Sofia and Cherno More Varna finished with two or fewer goals, producing an average of only 1.3 goals per game. While CSKA have been productive at home, Cherno More have averaged just 0.7 goals scored per away match, making a lower total scoreline statistically well-supported.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.