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Mon 12 Oct · 23:30

Criciuma vs America Mineiro prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 33
Venue: Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma
Referee: Paulo Schleich Vollkopf, Brazil

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Criciuma

46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -2 goal difference

America Mineiro

8Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet

Criciuma or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Criciuma or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 80% confidence — a strong call.

80%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Criciuma host America Mineiro in the Serie B clash with the home side sitting in the promotion‑play‑off places (5th with 53 points) while the visitors are entrenched in the relegation zone (19th with 17 points). Criciuma have been impressive lately, enjoying a six‑game winning run and a solid home record of nine wins, four draws and three losses, scoring just over one goal per game and conceding only 0.6 on average. America Mineiro have struggled to find the net, failing to score in their last five matches and posting a meagre 0.6 goals per game away, while conceding 1.9 on the road.

The head‑to‑head history shows ten meetings with five draws, two wins for Criciuma and three for America, the most recent encounter ending in a 1‑0 win for the visitors. Nevertheless, Criciuma’s defensive stability at home – nine clean sheets in 16 games – gives them a clear edge over a side that has kept just three clean sheets in 16 home games.

Both teams have low scoring averages, suggesting a modest goal tally. Criciuma’s expected home goal output (≈1.1) combined with America’s limited away firepower (≈0.6) points to a total well under the 2.5‑goal threshold, and the likelihood of both sides finding the net appears slim.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Criciuma at homeAmerica Mineiro away

Played

9-4-3

W-D-L

1-2-13

1.1

Scored /game

0.6

Conceded /game

1.9

56%

Clean sheets

25%

Failed to score

56%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (Criciuma at home plus America Mineiro away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	NovorizontinoPromotion	34	+31	61
3	JuventudePromotion Play-offs	34	+18	61
4	Fortaleza ECPromotion Play-offs	34	+12	60
5	CriciumaPromotion Play-offs	34	+7	59
6	Atletico GoianiensePromotion Play-offs	34	+10	54
7	CRB	34	+3	52
8	Sport Recife	34	+8	51
16	Ceara	34	-5	43
17	AvaiRelegation	34	-10	37
18	LondrinaRelegation	34	-6	32
19	America MineiroRelegation	34	-32	20
20	Ponte PretaRelegation	34	-55	14

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
Criciuma: 5
Draws: 2
America Mineiro

Criciuma have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

2026-10-12Criciuma1-0America Mineiro
2026-06-23America Mineiro0-1Criciuma
2025-10-12Criciuma2-1America Mineiro
2025-06-21America Mineiro1-1Criciuma
2021-06-10Criciuma2-2America Mineiro

BetGenius

Our record in Serie B

79%27 won from 34 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetWON

Combo Bet

Criciuma or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

80%

Both must land · no better than

Criciuma or Draw — 84% confidence

Criciuma’s strong home form and defensive record make a win or at least a draw the most probable outcome, while America’s recent goal drought lowers the chance of a Criciuma defeat.

Under 2.5 Goals — 80% confidence

Criciuma average 1.1 goals at home and America average 0.6 away, giving an expected total of around 1.7 goals, well below the 2.5‑goal line.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON

Both Teams to Score

72%

Confidence

America have failed to score in their last five matches and manage fewer than one goal per game away, making it unlikely that both sides will score.

Combo BetWON

Total Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

80%

Confidence

Criciuma average 1.1 goals at home and America average 0.6 away, giving an expected total of around 1.7 goals, well below the 2.5‑goal line.

Combo BetWON

Double Chance

Criciuma or Draw

84%

Confidence

Criciuma’s strong home form and defensive record make a win or at least a draw the most probable outcome, while America’s recent goal drought lowers the chance of a Criciuma defeat.

Explore

Criciuma vs America Mineiro prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Serie B

4 published markets

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