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Mon 14 Sept · 17:30

Como vs Parma prediction

Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Referee
Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
Form

Recent form

Como
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Parma
25Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Como or Draw

BetGenius backs Como or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Como enter matchday four in fine form, sitting fourth in Serie A with seven points from their opening three league matches. The hosts have demonstrated sharp attacking quality, scoring seven goals across their initial fixtures and taking victories at Napoli and Genoa. Their momentum is further reinforced by a strong sequence of recent outings, while maintaining an unbeaten home record against Parma over their last five encounters.

Parma, by contrast, have endured a difficult start to the campaign, picking up just one point from three matches and sitting seventeenth in the table. The visitors have managed to score only once in the league so far and enter this fixture missing several midfield options due to injury and unavailability. Their sole away fixture this season resulted in a 2-0 defeat.

Head-to-head records point toward tight, competitive games between these two sides, with four of the last five meetings staying under 2.5 total goals and Como avoiding defeat in each of their last four clashes with Parma. Given Como's strong early-season cohesion and Parma's offensive struggles, the home side holds a clear advantage.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Como remain unbeaten in Serie A with two wins and one draw from their opening three fixtures.
  2. Parma have earned just one point from three league games and have scored only one goal so far.
  3. Como have not lost at home to Parma across their last five head-to-head meetings, recording two wins and three draws.
  4. Parma are dealing with multiple squad absences including injuries to H. Nicolussi Caviglia and O. Diallo.
  5. Four of the last five head-to-head fixtures between Como and Parma have seen fewer than three total goals scored.
Availability

Team news

Como

  • T. ChalobahInjury
  • A. DiaoThigh Injury
  • J. RodriguezInjury
  • M. KeanLeg Injury
  • M. PapaccioliInjury

Parma

  • P. AlmqvistCalf Injury
  • H. Nicolussi CavigliaThigh Injury
  • N. ElphegeIllness
  • L. ValentiCoach's decision
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Como at homeParma away
2
Played
3
1-1-0
W-D-L
0-0-3
—
Scored /game
0.3
—
Conceded /game
2.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
Players

Key players this season

Como

  • N. Paz2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2LazioChampions League league stage7+1019
3AS RomaChampions League league stage7+1317
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
18FiorentinaRelegation7-94
19ParmaRelegation7-94
20VeneziaRelegation7-103
History

Head-to-head

3
Como
4
Draws
3
Parma

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-17Como1-0Parma
  • 2025-10-25Parma0-0Como
  • 2025-05-03Parma0-1Como
  • 2024-10-19Como1-1Parma
  • 2024-02-24Como1-1Parma
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Como or Draw
78%
Confidence

Como have started the league season unbeaten with two wins and a draw, averaging 2.3 goals per game in Serie A. Parma have struggled in the final third, scoring just one goal in three league matches while conceding four. Furthermore, Como are unbeaten in their last five home meetings against Parma, winning two and drawing three, with Parma also missing key squad members including H. Nicolussi Caviglia and O. Diallo.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.