BetGenius
Full time
1-0
Thu 8 Oct · 23:30

Ceara vs Criciuma prediction

Round
Regular Season - 32
Venue
Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza
Referee
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Ceara
64Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Criciuma
46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Ceara or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Ceara or Draw (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Ceara welcome promotion contenders Criciuma to Estadio Castelao in round 32 of Serie B, with both sides carrying positive momentum from recent outings. Ceara enter the fixture sitting 15th in the standings with 39 points, having put together a solid four-match unbeaten run that includes victories over Avai and Novorizontino alongside away draws against Operario-PR and Fortaleza EC.

Criciuma hold 4th position with 53 points, firmly in the promotion playoff zone after rebounding from a three-match losing slump with back-to-back clean-sheet victories over Avai and Londrina. The visitors boast one of the division's sturdiest defensive records, having conceded only 27 goals across 31 fixtures and recorded 14 clean sheets.

Historical head-to-head encounters slightly favour Ceara, who have never lost at home against Criciuma in four recorded meetings, claiming three wins and one draw. Given Ceara's steady home form and Criciuma's disciplined defensive setup on the road, a closely fought, low-scoring battle is expected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Ceara at homeCriciuma away
15
Played
16
7-3-5
W-D-L
6-4-6
1.3
Scored /game
0.9
1.1
Conceded /game
1.1
20%
Clean sheets
31%
27%
Failed to score
31%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Ceara at home plus Criciuma away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2NovorizontinoPromotion34+3161
3JuventudePromotion Play-offs34+1861
4Fortaleza ECPromotion Play-offs34+1260
5CriciumaPromotion Play-offs34+759
6Atletico GoianiensePromotion Play-offs34+1054
7CRB34+352
8Sport Recife34+851
13Botafogo SP34044
14Athletic Club34+144
15Nautico Recife34-343
16Ceara34-543
17AvaiRelegation34-1037
18LondrinaRelegation34-632
19America MineiroRelegation34-3220
History

Head-to-head

5
Ceara
3
Draws
2
Criciuma

Ceara have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-06-16Criciuma1-1Ceara
  • 2023-09-02Ceara1-0Criciuma
  • 2023-05-21Criciuma1-2Ceara
  • 2017-11-18Criciuma1-1Ceara
  • 2017-08-02Ceara3-1Criciuma
BetGenius

Our record in Serie B

79%27 won from 34 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Ceara or Draw
68%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Both clubs average only 1.1 goals scored per match across 31 league games this season. Criciuma have conceded just 27 goals all campaign and recorded 14 clean sheets, while their away fixtures yield an average of only 1.1 goals conceded per game. Combined with the defensive approach typical of Serie B clashes in the final stretch of the season, total match scoring is likely to stay below the 2.5 mark.

Ceara or Draw — 68% confidence

Ceara have established good form with a four-match unbeaten streak and hold a respectable home record of seven wins and three draws from 15 games. In head-to-head encounters hosted by Ceara, the home team has remained undefeated with three wins and one draw. Backing Ceara to avoid defeat offers strong coverage against a Criciuma side that has lost five times on the road.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
No
63%
Confidence

Criciuma have kept clean sheets in nearly half of their league fixtures (14 of 31) and have failed to score in eight matches. Ceara have also failed to find the net in 10 matches overall. With both sides relying heavily on tight defensive organisation rather than expansive attacking play, there is a good likelihood that at least one team fails to get on the scoresheet.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Ceara or Draw
68%
Confidence

Ceara have established good form with a four-match unbeaten streak and hold a respectable home record of seven wins and three draws from 15 games. In head-to-head encounters hosted by Ceara, the home team has remained undefeated with three wins and one draw. Backing Ceara to avoid defeat offers strong coverage against a Criciuma side that has lost five times on the road.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Both clubs average only 1.1 goals scored per match across 31 league games this season. Criciuma have conceded just 27 goals all campaign and recorded 14 clean sheets, while their away fixtures yield an average of only 1.1 goals conceded per game. Combined with the defensive approach typical of Serie B clashes in the final stretch of the season, total match scoring is likely to stay below the 2.5 mark.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.