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Mon 7 Sept · 17:30

Cagliari vs Lecce prediction

Follow CagliariFollow LecceFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Referee
Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Cagliari
55Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · -1 goal difference

Lecce
46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Cagliari or Draw

BetGenius backs Cagliari or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Cagliari welcome Lecce to Sardinia for matchday three of the Serie A campaign, with both clubs sitting level on three points in the mid-table positions. Cagliari opened their league season with a 1-0 away victory over Parma before suffering a narrow 1-0 defeat at home against Inter, followed by a recent 2-1 reverse against Hellas Verona.

Lecce have experienced a similarly mixed start to the league calendar. After securing an impressive 2-0 away win against Venezia on matchday one, they were brought down to earth in a 4-0 home defeat against AS Roma. Their away form has shown defensive solidity, but their overall consistency remains a work in progress.

Historically, fixtures between these two teams have been tightly contested. Across the last ten head-to-head encounters, the spoils are evenly split with three wins apiece and four draws. With both teams showing low-scoring tendencies in league play so far, a closely fought battle is expected.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Cagliari and Lecce are level on three points after two Serie A matches, sitting 12th and 13th respectively.
  2. Cagliari have conceded only one goal across their two league matches this season.
  3. Lecce won their sole away league match 2-0 at Venezia but conceded four goals in their last outing against AS Roma.
  4. The head-to-head record across the last ten meetings stands completely balanced with three wins each and four draws.
  5. Sixty percent of the previous ten meetings between these two sides produced under 2.5 total goals.
Availability

Team news

Cagliari

  • Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee

Lecce

  • L. CoulibalyThigh Injury
  • I. IlicThigh Injury
  • S. PierottiAnkle Injury
  • M. BerishaThigh Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Cagliari at homeLecce away
3
Played
4
1-1-1
W-D-L
2-0-2
0.7
Scored /game
1.3
0.7
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Cagliari at home plus Lecce away).

Players

Key players this season

Cagliari

  • D. Maldini4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
15Bologna7-45
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
3
Cagliari
4
Draws
3
Lecce

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-09-07Cagliari1-0Lecce
  • 2026-02-16Cagliari0-2Lecce
  • 2025-09-19Lecce1-2Cagliari
  • 2025-01-19Cagliari4-1Lecce
  • 2024-08-31Lecce1-0Cagliari
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Cagliari or Draw
72%
Confidence

Both sides enter this contest with identical records of one win and one defeat from their opening two Serie A fixtures. Cagliari have proven resilient defensively in competitive action, conceding just one goal across their two league matches. While Lecce secured an away win at Venezia, their heavy 4-0 home defeat to AS Roma exposed vulnerabilities. In past meetings, Cagliari have taken points in seven of the last ten encounters against Lecce, making the home win or draw a solidly backed position in a fixture that averages just 2.4 goals per match.

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Published September 6, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.