Wolves are the clear statistical favorite, occupying a top‑ten spot with a positive goal difference, while Burnley sit near the relegation zone with a poor home record. Burnley’s numerous injuries limit their attacking options, and Wolves have a solid away performance. The head‑to‑head record is balanced but generally low‑scoring, supporting a safe bet that Wolves will avoid defeat.
- Round
- Regular Season - 11
- Venue
- Turf Moor, Burnley
- Referee
- Lewis Smith
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Wolves or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Burnley host Wolves in a Championship clash where the hosts have struggled at home, recording no wins, four draws and a single loss in their last five matches. An extensive injury list further weakens their squad, with several starters unavailable. Wolves sit in the top half of the table with 14 points from nine games and have shown better form both at home and away, despite a mixed recent run of results. Historically the two sides have produced low‑scoring affairs, with only 40% of their ten meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and a modest 40% BTTS rate. The combination of Burnley's defensive frailties, Wolves' superior league position and the low‑scoring trend suggests a cautious outlook for the match.
Key factors
- Wolves hold 14 points from 9 games, Burnley only 8 from 10, placing them in opposite halves of the table
- Burnley have not won at home in their last five fixtures (0‑4‑1)
- Wolves have a better recent form and a respectable away record
- Burnley are missing several key players through injury and inactivity
- Head‑to‑head meetings show low scoring, with only 40% of games going over 2.5 goals
Team news
Burnley
- A. AhmedhodzicKnock
- A. BarnesMuscle Injury
- J. BeyerHamstring Injury
- B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
- H. MejbriHamstring Injury
- A. RamseyHamstring Injury
- Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
- J. BanelMuscle Injury
- J. CullenKnee Injury
- M. ObafemiInactive
- S. SamboInactive
- M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive
Wolves
- R. GomesFoot Injury
- R. JimenezKnee Injury
- B. TraoreInjury
- A. ArmstrongBack Injury
- E. GonzalezInjury
- T. OjinnakaInjury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Burnley at home plus Wolves away).
Key players this season
Wolves
- Fer López5G · 3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 11 | +11 | 17 |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 22 | BurnleyRelegation - League One | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | DerbyRelegation - League One | 11 | -11 | 6 |
| 24 | PrestonRelegation - League One | 11 | -15 | 4 |
Head-to-head
- 3
- Burnley
- 3
- Draws
- 4
- Wolves
Wolves have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
- 2026-10-16Burnley1-2Wolves
- 2026-05-24Burnley1-1Wolves
- 2025-10-26Wolves2-3Burnley
- 2024-08-28Wolves2-0Burnley
- 2024-04-02Burnley1-1Wolves
Our record in Championship
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
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Teams around them in the table
Published October 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

