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Wed 2 Sept · 20:00

Burnley vs Middlesbrough prediction

Follow BurnleyFollow MiddlesbroughFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Turf Moor, Burnley
Referee
Matt Donohue, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Burnley
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Middlesbrough
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Middlesbrough or Draw

BetGenius backs Middlesbrough or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Burnley welcome Middlesbrough to Turf Moor looking to secure their first league victory of the campaign. The Clarets sit in 22nd place with one point from their opening three Championship fixtures, having conceded nine goals during that span, including heavy away defeats against Norwich and West Brom.

Middlesbrough travel with momentum, currently occupying 5th spot in the standings after taking six points from their first three matches. Led in attack by W. Lankshear, who has scored four goals already this season, the visitors have netted six times in league action.

With Burnley dealing with several absences and defensive issues, Middlesbrough will aim to exploit the hosts' vulnerable backline and maintain their position near the top of the table.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Burnley have conceded nine goals across their first three league matches, averaging three goals conceded per game.
  2. Middlesbrough forward W. Lankshear has scored four goals in three league appearances this season.
  3. Burnley are winless in the Championship with one draw and two losses, sitting in 22nd position.
  4. Burnley enter the fixture missing multiple players through injury and suspension, including J. Laurent, J. Beyer, and J. Cullen.
  5. Middlesbrough have won two of their opening three league fixtures, scoring six goals in total.
Availability

Team news

Burnley

  • A. AhmedhodzicKnock
  • A. BarnesMuscle Injury
  • J. BeyerHamstring Injury
  • B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
  • H. MejbriHamstring Injury
  • A. RamseyHamstring Injury
  • Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
  • J. BanelMuscle Injury
  • J. CullenKnee Injury
  • M. ObafemiInactive
  • S. SamboInactive
  • M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive

Middlesbrough

  • A. JonesCalf Injury
  • R. PukstasInjury
  • D. StrelecInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Burnley at homeMiddlesbrough away
6
Played
5
0-4-2
W-D-L
2-2-1
1.3
Scored /game
1.6
1.7
Conceded /game
1.4
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
Failed to score
0%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Burnley at home plus Middlesbrough away).

Players

Key players this season

Middlesbrough

  • W. Lankshear9G
  • A. Cozier-Duberry3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1SwanseaPromotion - Premier League11+823
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
4
Burnley
4
Draws
2
Middlesbrough

Burnley have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2024-12-29Middlesbrough0-0Burnley
  • 2024-12-06Burnley1-1Middlesbrough
  • 2023-04-07Middlesbrough1-2Burnley
  • 2022-12-17Burnley3-1Middlesbrough
  • 2017-04-08Middlesbrough0-0Burnley
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Middlesbrough or Draw
74%
Confidence

Middlesbrough have enjoyed a productive start to the season with two wins from three Championship matches, scoring six goals and averaging two goals per game. In contrast, Burnley have struggled defensively, conceding nine goals across three fixtures for an average of three goals against per match.

Burnley's difficulties are compounded by multiple squad absences, including J. Laurent serving a suspension and fitness issues for players such as J. Beyer and J. Cullen. Given Middlesbrough's attacking output and Burnley's defensive struggles, the visitors are well placed to take at least a point from this fixture.

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Published August 31, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.