BetGenius
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Maimonides Park
Referee
S. Cardozo
Form

Recent form

Brooklyn
34Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -7 goal difference

Birmingham Legion
53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Birmingham Legion or Draw

BetGenius backs Birmingham Legion or Draw (Double Chance) at 48% confidence — a moderate call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

48%
Confidence
Moderate
Preview

Match preview

Brooklyn host Birmingham Legion in a low‑mid table clash in the USL Championship. Brooklyn sit 12th with 21 points, while Birmingham are 11th on 27 points. Both clubs are fighting to stay clear of the relegation‑type zone and will be eager for points.

Brooklyn have struggled at home, winning only three of fourteen matches and conceding 19 goals. Their recent five games include a 3‑2 win over Hartford but three defeats, including a 0‑4 loss to Birmingham earlier in the season. Birmingham have been more solid away, losing seven of thirteen trips but keeping six clean sheets at home. Their last five outings feature a 4‑0 home victory over Brooklyn and four matches with three or fewer goals.

Both sides score little on average – Brooklyn 1.1 and Birmingham 1.3 goals per game – while conceding 1.4 and 1.9 respectively. The solitary head‑to‑head meeting ended 4‑0 for Birmingham, but it was an outlier in terms of goal volume; overall league averages sit around 2.67 per match.

Expect a tightly contested game where Birmingham’s slight edge in points and defensive record gives them a marginal advantage, but Brooklyn’s home support could keep the match close.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Brooklyn rank 12 with only three home wins in fourteen games
  2. Birmingham rank 11 with a better points total and fewer goals conceded away
  3. Both teams average just over one goal per match, indicating a low‑scoring encounter
  4. The only head‑to‑head meeting ended 4‑0 for Birmingham but involved four goals, an outlier compared with recent low‑scoring fixtures
  5. Brooklyn’s recent form features three losses in the last five, while Birmingham have secured two wins in the same span
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Brooklyn at homeBirmingham Legion away
14
Played
13
3-3-8
W-D-L
2-4-7
1.1
Scored /game
1.3
1.4
Conceded /game
1.9
14%
Clean sheets
8%
36%
Failed to score
23%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Brooklyn at home plus Birmingham Legion away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
7Hartford AthleticPlay Offs: 1/8-finals29+140
8Miami FCPlay Offs: 1/8-finals30-1036
9Indy Eleven29-534
10Birmingham Legion29-530
11Loudoun United29-1128
12Brooklyn29-2821
13Sporting JAX29-4414
History

Head-to-head

0
Brooklyn
0
Draws
2
Birmingham Legion

Birmingham Legion have won 2 of the last 2 meetings.

  • 2026-10-21Brooklyn1-2Birmingham Legion
  • 2026-09-23Birmingham Legion4-0Brooklyn
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Birmingham Legion or Draw
48%
Confidence

Birmingham have a marginally better points total and a stronger defensive record away (1.9 goals conceded per game) compared with Brooklyn’s home defence (1.4). Brooklyn’s home win rate is low (3 wins in 14) and they have failed to score in five recent matches. Birmingham’s recent form includes a solid 4‑0 win over Brooklyn but also several low‑scoring games, suggesting they are more likely to avoid defeat than to win outright. The double‑chance on the away side therefore reflects the higher combined probability of an away win or a draw, estimated around 48 % based on win/draw rates.

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Published October 21, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.