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Fri 9 Oct · 19:30

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction

Follow Borussia DortmundFollow Werder BremenFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Referee
Christian Dingert, Germany

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Werder Bremen
46Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund or Draw

BetGenius backs Borussia Dortmund or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund welcome Werder Bremen to Signal Iduna Park sitting at the top of the Bundesliga table with a perfect record of four wins from four matches. The hosts have demonstrated strong defensive stability on their own pitch, scoring five goals without conceding across two home outings.

Werder Bremen arrive in eighth position with seven points from four fixtures. While they have displayed offensive potency with eight goals scored overall, their away form has been vulnerable, registering one draw and one defeat on the road with five goals conceded.

Head-to-head encounters heavily favor Dortmund, who have won seven of the previous ten meetings between the sides, including 2-0 and 3-0 victories in 2026. With Werder Bremen dealing with a substantial injury list that includes several defensive and midfield regulars, Dortmund hold a clear advantage going into this contest.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Borussia Dortmund lead the Bundesliga with four wins from four matches and nine goals scored.
  2. Dortmund have kept clean sheets in both of their home league fixtures this season.
  3. Werder Bremen are winless away in the league, recording one draw and one loss while conceding five goals.
  4. Dortmund have won seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between the two clubs.
  5. Werder Bremen carry nine confirmed injury absences into the match, including key midfield and defensive personnel.
Availability

Team news

Borussia Dortmund

  • E. CanKnee Injury
  • K. KaretsasAnkle Injury
  • G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
  • J. LermaMuscle Injury

Werder Bremen

  • F. AguCalf Injury
  • S. AlveroCalf Injury
  • S. MusahMuscle Injury
  • J. NjinmahThigh Injury
  • J. StageMuscle Injury
  • K. ToppKnee Injury
  • M. N'DiayeGroin Injury
  • N. StarkThigh Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Borussia Dortmund at homeWerder Bremen away
3
Played
3
2-1-0
W-D-L
0-2-1
2.3
Scored /game
1.3
0.7
Conceded /game
2.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Borussia Dortmund at home plus Werder Bremen away).

Players

Key players this season

Werder Bremen

  • N. Füllkrug6G
  • M. Grüll4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern MünchenChampions League league stage6+1714
2Borussia DortmundChampions League league stage6+714
3SC FreiburgChampions League league stage6+913
4Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage6+713
5FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage6+410
6SV ElversbergQualifying6+110
7RB Leipzig6+59
8Werder Bremen609
9Hamburger SV6-99
10FC Augsburg6+48
11Eintracht Frankfurt6-68
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
6
Borussia Dortmund
3
Draws
1
Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-09Borussia Dortmund2-2Werder Bremen
  • 2026-05-16Werder Bremen0-2Borussia Dortmund
  • 2026-01-13Borussia Dortmund3-0Werder Bremen
  • 2025-01-25Borussia Dortmund2-2Werder Bremen
  • 2024-08-31Werder Bremen0-0Borussia Dortmund
BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%52 won from 79 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

1 locked — upgrade to unlock
FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund or Draw
78%
Confidence

Borussia Dortmund have started the campaign in flawless form, winning all four league fixtures while maintaining clean sheets in both home games. Werder Bremen remain winless on the road this season with five goals conceded across two away matches. Historical matchups also point toward the hosts, as Dortmund have won seven of the last ten meetings. Covering both the home win and the draw accounts for Bremen's scoring ability, as the visitors have scored in every Bundesliga fixture so far.

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Published October 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.