BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Referee
Martin Petersen
Form

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07
48Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Hamburger SV
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw

BetGenius backs Hamburger SV or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

SC Paderborn 07 welcome Hamburger SV to the Home Deluxe Arena for round seven of the Bundesliga campaign, with the two sides experiencing sharply contrasting trajectories. Paderborn currently occupy 16th place in the relegation playoff position, having collected five points from their opening six matches. Their defensive record shows nine goals conceded across those fixtures, and they have struggled for consistency in front of goal after failing to score in four of their six league outings.

Hamburger SV enter this contest in 9th position with nine points, having built strong momentum through three consecutive league victories against 1. FC Köln, 1899 Hoffenheim, and VfB Stuttgart. While Hamburg have been vulnerable away from home, conceding nine goals across three road trips, their attack has found form with six goals scored over their last three Bundesliga fixtures.

Paderborn hold a solid recent record in direct meetings between the two clubs, but squad depth could be tested here. The hosts have five players sidelined through injury, whereas Hamburg's recent resurgence gives them confidence heading into this away test.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Hamburger SV have won three consecutive Bundesliga matches, defeating 1. FC Köln, 1899 Hoffenheim, and VfB Stuttgart.
  2. SC Paderborn 07 have managed only one victory in six league matches and reside in the relegation playoff spot.
  3. Paderborn have failed to score in four of their six Bundesliga games this season.
  4. Meetings between these clubs historically produce goals, averaging 3.6 goals per game across their last ten encounters.
  5. Paderborn have five players ruled out through injury, including N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, and S. Klaas.
Availability

Team news

SC Paderborn 07

  • N. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
  • O. Batista MeierAnkle Injury
  • T. GayretKnee Injury
  • M. HoffmeierMuscle Injury
  • S. KlaasMuscle Injury

Hamburger SV

  • N. RembergKnee Injury
  • M. VuskovicDoping
Numbers

Statistical comparison

SC Paderborn 07 at homeHamburger SV away
3
Played
3
1-0-2
W-D-L
1-0-2
1
Scored /game
1
1.3
Conceded /game
3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (SC Paderborn 07 at home plus Hamburger SV away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
6SV ElversbergQualifying6+110
7RB Leipzig6+59
8Werder Bremen609
9Hamburger SV6-99
10FC Augsburg6+48
11Eintracht Frankfurt6-68
121. FC Köln6-37
131899 Hoffenheim6-36
14VfB Stuttgart7-36
15FC Schalke 046-35
16SC Paderborn 07Relegation Playoffs6-45
17Union BerlinRelegation6-125
18Borussia MönchengladbachRelegation7-113
History

Head-to-head

4
SC Paderborn 07
2
Draws
4
Hamburger SV

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 3.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2025-03-02SC Paderborn 072-0Hamburger SV
  • 2024-09-28Hamburger SV2-2SC Paderborn 07
  • 2024-05-10SC Paderborn 071-0Hamburger SV
  • 2023-12-09Hamburger SV1-2SC Paderborn 07
  • 2023-05-05Hamburger SV2-2SC Paderborn 07
BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%52 won from 79 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
72%
Confidence

Hamburger SV come into this match in superior recent form, having won three consecutive league games to move into the top half of the table. In contrast, SC Paderborn 07 have managed only one win from six league fixtures and sit 16th with a minus-four goal differential. Paderborn also deal with several absences including Batista Meier and Klaas, while failing to score in four of their six matches this season. Covering both the away win and the draw accounts for Hamburg's tendency to concede on the road while respecting their upward momentum.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.