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Sat 10 Oct · 15:00

Bolton vs Stoke City prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich
Referee
Thomas Kirk, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Bolton
64Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Stoke City
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Stoke City or Draw

BetGenius backs Stoke City or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Bolton welcome Stoke City to the Toughsheet Community Stadium for round nine of the Championship season, with both clubs seeking to build on recent upturns in form. The hosts sit 15th in the table with 10 points from eight matches, having recently halted a difficult four-match losing sequence by recording consecutive victories against Cardiff and Norwich.

Stoke City enter the fixture in fine form, occupying seventh place on 13 points and remaining unbeaten across their previous five league outings. The Potters have taken four wins and a draw during that span, consistently finding the net having scored in all eight Championship fixtures played so far this term.

Both teams carry defensive vulnerabilities into this encounter, with Bolton conceding 15 goals in eight matches and Stoke shipping nine across their four away fixtures. However, Stoke's recent momentum and consistency in front of goal give them a competitive edge over a Bolton side that has suffered four league defeats already.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Stoke City are unbeaten in their last five league games, winning four and drawing one.
  2. Stoke City have scored in all eight Championship matches played this season.
  3. Bolton have conceded 15 goals across eight games, averaging 1.9 goals against per match.
  4. Stoke City have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game away from home and are yet to keep an away clean sheet.
  5. Bolton have suffered four defeats in eight league outings, despite winning their last two fixtures.
Availability

Team news

Bolton

  • C. Forino-JosephGroin Injury

Stoke City

  • A. AmpahKnee Injury
  • E. BocatInjury
  • A. CresswellKnee Injury
  • S. GallagherInjury
  • S. IngelssonMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Bolton at homeStoke City away
5
Played
6
2-0-3
W-D-L
3-1-2
1.2
Scored /game
1.3
1.4
Conceded /game
1.7
20%
Clean sheets
17%
20%
Failed to score
0%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Bolton at home plus Stoke City away).

Players

Key players this season

Stoke City

  • E. Galbraith3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
12Millwall11015
13Portsmouth11015
14Wrexham11-114
15Bolton11-314
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Bolton
2
Draws
4
Stoke City

Stoke City have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

  • 2026-10-10Bolton1-2Stoke City
  • 2024-07-30Bolton0-1Stoke City
  • 2018-12-29Bolton0-0Stoke City
  • 2018-10-02Stoke City2-0Bolton
  • 2012-05-13Stoke City2-2Bolton
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Stoke City or Draw
72%
Confidence

Stoke City come into this fixture on a five-match unbeaten run featuring four victories and one draw, demonstrating consistent form across the past month. Crucially, Stoke have scored in every single league match this season, averaging 1.6 goals per game overall. While their away defensive record shows nine goals conceded in four games, Bolton have shown defensive fragility of their own by allowing 15 goals across eight fixtures and suffering four defeats. Backing Stoke City on the double chance provides coverage for both an away victory and a shared result, reflecting the visitors' superior recent consistency without relying solely on an outright away win.

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Published October 8, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.