BetGenius
Full time
0-1
Sat 29 Aug · 15:00

Bolton vs Lincoln prediction

Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Referee
Benjamin Speedie, England
Form

Recent form

Bolton
64Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

Lincoln
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Bolton or Draw

BetGenius backs Bolton or Draw (Double Chance) at 82% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

82%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Bolton welcome Lincoln to the Toughsheet Community Stadium for round three of the Championship season, looking to build upon a positive start. The hosts have picked up four points from their opening two league matches, backing up a 2-1 home victory over Preston with a disciplined 0-0 draw away to Queens Park Rangers. Sitting eighth in the table, Bolton have demonstrated early defensive resilience, conceding just one goal across their two Championship outings.

Lincoln, in contrast, have endured a difficult opening to their league campaign, sitting 22nd after back-to-back defeats against Middlesbrough (2-1) and Portsmouth (3-1). While they secured a convincing 4-1 cup win at Blackpool in midweek, their league form has been hindered by defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded five goals across their first two fixtures. The visitors are also managing squad fitness issues, with S. Bradley, J. Collins, and T. Darikwa all sidelined.

Historically, Bolton hold a commanding record in this head-to-head matchup, particularly on home turf where they have recorded four wins and one draw across their last five meetings against Lincoln. Given Bolton's solid defensive foundation and Lincoln's early league struggles, the home side enter the contest in a favorable position to secure points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Bolton are unbeaten in the Championship this season with a win against Preston (2-1) and a draw at QPR (0-0).
  2. Lincoln have lost both of their opening league fixtures, conceding a total of five goals.
  3. Bolton are undefeated in their last five home head-to-head matches against Lincoln, winning four.
  4. Lincoln have three reported injuries heading into the fixture: S. Bradley, J. Collins, and T. Darikwa.
  5. Bolton have maintained strong defensive numbers in the league, averaging only 0.5 goals conceded per match.
Availability

Team news

Bolton

  • C. Forino-JosephGroin Injury

Lincoln

  • T. DarikwaKnee Injury
  • M. MeliaThigh Injury
  • F. DraperYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Bolton at homeLincoln away
5
Played
6
2-0-3
W-D-L
3-1-2
1.2
Scored /game
1
1.4
Conceded /game
1.2
20%
Clean sheets
50%
20%
Failed to score
17%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Bolton at home plus Lincoln away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
12Millwall11015
13Portsmouth11015
14Wrexham11-114
15Bolton11-314
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
History

Head-to-head

5
Bolton
3
Draws
2
Lincoln

Bolton have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-29Bolton0-1Lincoln
  • 2026-02-14Lincoln1-1Bolton
  • 2025-08-23Bolton1-1Lincoln
  • 2025-04-21Lincoln4-2Bolton
  • 2025-01-14Lincoln0-1Bolton
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Bolton or Draw
82%
Confidence

Bolton enter this fixture unbeaten in the Championship with four points from two games, having conceded only once. In head-to-head meetings at home, Bolton have never lost to Lincoln in their last five encounters, winning four and drawing one. With Lincoln having lost both of their opening league fixtures and missing three players through injury (S. Bradley, J. Collins, and T. Darikwa), backing Bolton in the double chance market offers strong probability coverage.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.