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Sat 17 Oct · 15:00

Birmingham vs QPR prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 11
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Referee
Thomas Kirk, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Birmingham
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

QPR
48Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw

BetGenius backs Birmingham or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Birmingham and Queens Park Rangers enter this Championship fixture deadlocked on 17 points from their opening ten matches, occupying fourth and fifth in the table. The hosts have generated real momentum after consecutive clean-sheet victories, following a 1-0 away win at West Brom with a comprehensive 4-0 home triumph against Preston.

QPR also arrive off a high-scoring victory after defeating Derby 4-1 on home turf, which snapped a run of four straight draws. The visitors boast an unbeaten away record in the league this season with two wins and three draws, having conceded just four goals across five road outings.

With both sides registering identical records of four wins, five draws, and one defeat, margins appear extremely fine. However, Birmingham remain unbeaten at home and face a QPR side missing key attacking and defensive contributors.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Birmingham remain undefeated at home in the league this season, picking up one win and four draws.
  2. QPR enter the fixture missing important contributors, with I. Chair and K. Dembele injured and D. Cirkin suspended.
  3. Both teams sit on 17 points with identical season records of four wins, five draws, and one defeat across ten games.
  4. Recent head-to-head history has been tightly contested, averaging 1.8 goals per match across the last ten encounters with under 2.5 goals landing in 60 percent of them.
Availability

Team news

Birmingham

  • M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Paik Seung-HoHealth problems

QPR

  • I. ChairMuscle Injury
  • A. S. MbengueKnee Injury
  • T. LampteyInactive
  • R. BurrellInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Birmingham at homeQPR away
6
Played
6
2-4-0
W-D-L
2-3-1
2.3
Scored /game
1.2
1.2
Conceded /game
1.2
33%
Clean sheets
17%
0%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.5 goals per game (Birmingham at home plus QPR away).

Players

Key players this season

Birmingham

  • L. Millar4G · 3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1SwanseaPromotion - Premier League11+823
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
10Blackburn11+115
11Sheffield Utd11+115
12Millwall11015
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
5
Birmingham
1
Draws
4
QPR

Birmingham have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game.

  • 2026-10-17Birmingham3-0QPR
  • 2026-03-11Birmingham1-0QPR
  • 2025-12-09QPR2-1Birmingham
  • 2024-03-29QPR2-1Birmingham
  • 2023-09-22Birmingham0-0QPR
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw
75%
Confidence

Birmingham have built a sturdy platform at St Andrew's, where they remain unbeaten through five league games with one victory and four draws. They enter on the back of consecutive wins and consecutive clean sheets, conceding only 1.1 goals per match overall. While QPR have proved stubborn on their travels, they face significant squad disruption with I. Chair and K. Dembele sidelined through injury and D. Cirkin suspended. Given that the last ten meetings between these sides have averaged only 1.8 goals, a tightly fought contest where Birmingham secure at least a point carries the strongest likelihood.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.