BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Referee
Sam Allison
Form

Recent form

Birmingham
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Preston
11Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw

BetGenius backs Birmingham or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Birmingham enter this round ten fixture sitting seventh in the Championship on 14 points, having tasted defeat just once in their opening nine league encounters. Their home campaign has been characterised by resilience without full reward, recording four draws from four outings at St Andrew's while scoring and conceding seven goals in the process. Coming off a 1-0 away victory against West Brom, the hosts look to maintain momentum against struggling opposition.

Preston arrive at the foot of the table in 24th position with only four points from nine matches, having suffered seven defeats already. Their travels have yielded a solitary point from four attempts, alongside seven goals conceded and zero clean sheets recorded across the entire season. The visitors also arrive on the back of a 1-0 home loss to Millwall, leaving them under substantial pressure to reverse a difficult sequence of results.

Recent head-to-head history also tilts toward the hosts, with Birmingham winning each of the last three encounters between these clubs, including a 2-1 victory in April 2026. Given Birmingham's habit of sharing points on home turf and Preston's difficulty in securing wins away from Deepdale, backing the hosts to avoid defeat represents a well-grounded position.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Birmingham have lost just one of their nine Championship fixtures this season, accumulating 14 points to sit seventh.
  2. Preston sit bottom of the Championship in 24th position, having lost seven of their nine matches and failing to win any of their four away fixtures.
  3. Preston have kept zero clean sheets across all nine league fixtures, conceding 16 goals in total.
  4. Birmingham have drawn all four of their home league matches to date, scoring seven and conceding seven.
  5. Birmingham have won the last three head-to-head meetings between the two teams, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent encounter in April 2026.
Availability

Team news

Birmingham

  • M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Paik Seung-HoHealth problems

Preston

  • H. ClarkeKnee Injury
  • L. GibbsMuscle Injury
  • A. McCannHamstring Injury
  • T. CarrollAnkle Injury
  • C. WileyInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Birmingham at homePreston away
6
Played
6
2-4-0
W-D-L
0-1-5
2.3
Scored /game
0.8
1.2
Conceded /game
2.5
33%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Birmingham at home plus Preston away).

Players

Key players this season

Birmingham

  • L. Millar4G · 3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1SwanseaPromotion - Premier League11+823
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

5
Birmingham
2
Draws
3
Preston

Birmingham have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-13Birmingham4-0Preston
  • 2026-04-22Birmingham2-1Preston
  • 2025-10-21Preston0-1Birmingham
  • 2024-04-01Birmingham1-0Preston
  • 2023-09-19Preston2-1Birmingham
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

1 locked — upgrade to unlock
FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw
76%
Confidence

Birmingham have proven difficult to beat this season, losing only one of their nine Championship matches. While they have yet to register a home victory, drawing all four fixtures at St Andrew's, they face a Preston side that sits 24th in the table with seven losses from nine games and zero victories on the road. Preston have also failed to record a single clean sheet all season, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Backing Birmingham to secure at least a draw respects their high draw rate at home while accounting for Preston's prolonged struggles away from home.

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Published October 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.