BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Referee
Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
Form

Recent form

AS Roma
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +5 goal difference

Fiorentina
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw

BetGenius backs AS Roma or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

AS Roma welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico in Serie A action. Both sides enter this fixture having experienced high-scoring preparation matches, with Roma recording recent results such as a 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund and a 3-3 draw against Cannes, while Fiorentina picked up a 4-1 victory over Benevento and a 2-2 draw with Real Madrid.

Historical head-to-head statistics heavily favor AS Roma when hosting this encounter. In their last five home meetings against Fiorentina, Roma have remained unbeaten, securing four victories and one draw, including a decisive 4-0 triumph in their most recent encounter in May 2026.

Both squads deal with fitness issues heading into the match. Roma are without M. Bah and L. Pellegrini due to knee and thigh injuries, respectively. Fiorentina will be missing F. Parisi due to a knee injury and R. Sottil due to a back problem.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 home head-to-head clashes with Fiorentina (4 wins, 1 draw).
  2. The most recent head-to-head meeting ended in a 4-0 home victory for AS Roma in May 2026.
  3. The last 10 head-to-head fixtures have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with 60% producing over 2.5 goals.
  4. AS Roma are missing M. Bah (knee) and L. Pellegrini (thigh).
  5. Fiorentina are without F. Parisi (knee) and R. Sottil (back).
Availability

Team news

AS Roma

  • M. BahJumpers Knee

Fiorentina

  • R. SottilBack Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

AS Roma at homeFiorentina away
4
Played
3
3-1-0
W-D-L
1-0-2
2.5
Scored /game
1.7
0.8
Conceded /game
2.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 4.2 goals per game (AS Roma at home plus Fiorentina away).

Players

Key players this season

AS Roma

  • D. Malen6G
  • P. Dybala4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1InterChampions League league stage7+1219
2LazioChampions League league stage7+1019
3AS RomaChampions League league stage7+1317
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
15Bologna7-45
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
18FiorentinaRelegation7-94
19ParmaRelegation7-94
20VeneziaRelegation7-103
History

Head-to-head

5
AS Roma
2
Draws
3
Fiorentina

AS Roma have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-24AS Roma4-0Fiorentina
  • 2026-05-04AS Roma4-0Fiorentina
  • 2025-10-05Fiorentina1-2AS Roma
  • 2025-05-04AS Roma1-0Fiorentina
  • 2024-10-27Fiorentina5-1AS Roma
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
74%
Confidence

AS Roma have dominated home head-to-head fixtures against Fiorentina, winning 4 and drawing 1 of the last 5 meetings at home. With head-to-head fixtures averaging 3.1 goals per game and a 60% Over 2.5 rate, backing Roma to avoid defeat alongside a lively total goal count is supported by the data.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.