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Sat 29 Aug · 15:30

Arouca vs Maritimo prediction

Follow Arouca Follow Maritimo Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 4
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Arouca

65Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Maritimo

39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Arouca or Draw

BetGenius backs Arouca or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Arouca host Marítimo at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca in round 4 of the Primeira Liga, with both sides enjoying positive starts to the campaign. Arouca currently occupy 6th position with six points from three matches (two wins, one defeat), having responded to an opening-round 1-0 win at Vitória SC and a comprehensive 4-0 home victory over Moreirense with a 2-0 defeat away to league leaders FC Porto.

Marítimo enter the fixture sitting 4th in the standings with seven points from three games (two wins, one draw). Following victories over Casa Pia (1-0) and Famalicão (2-1 away), the Madeira-based club shared the points in a 2-2 draw with Académico de Viseu. Both sides have displayed consistent attacking output, scoring five goals across their opening three fixtures.

Head-to-head records favor Arouca when hosting this fixture, with four victories in their last five home meetings against Marítimo. In line with the calibrated approach for this fixture, Arouca's strong domestic home form gives them a slight edge to secure at least a point.

Analysis

Key factors

Arouca have won 4 of their last 5 home matches against Marítimo in head-to-head meetings.
Arouca kept clean sheets in two of their first three Primeira Liga fixtures, conceding only against FC Porto.
Marítimo enter the match unbeaten in the league with two wins and one draw from their opening three games.
Key contributors for Arouca include Barbero with two goals and N. Djouahra with three assists in the league.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Arouca at homeMaritimo away

Played

3-0-1

W-D-L

1-1-2

Scored /game

1.3

0.8

Conceded /game

1.8

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Arouca at home plus Maritimo away).

Players

Key players this season

Arouca

Barbero5G
N. Djouahra5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	BenficaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)	8	+17	19
3	Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)	8	+11	18
4	Santa ClaraPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)	8	+8	18
5	AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	8	+4	14
6	GIL Vicente	8	+2	14
7	Academico Viseu	8	+1	14
8	Alverca	8	+1	11
10	Estrela	8	-1	10
11	Vitória SC	9	0	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Maritimo	9	-10	8
14	Famalicao	8	-1	7
15	Rio Ave	8	-9	7
16	NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)	8	-9	4

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

5
Arouca: 3
Draws: 2
Maritimo

Arouca have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

2026-08-29Arouca2-1Maritimo
2023-04-08Arouca1-0Maritimo
2022-10-23Maritimo1-1Arouca
2022-02-14Arouca0-3Maritimo
2021-09-13Maritimo2-2Arouca

BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

70%49 won from 70 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Arouca or Draw

74%

Confidence

Arouca have won four of their five historical home encounters against Marítimo in the provided head-to-head sample, including their most recent meeting in April 2023 (1-0). Having opened their home league campaign with a 4-0 win over Moreirense, Arouca carry solid momentum on home turf. While Marítimo remain unbeaten through three rounds with seven points, Arouca Double Chance (Home or Draw) provides a well-hedged position reflecting the home side's historical resilience in this specific fixture.

Explore

Arouca vs Maritimo prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Arouca

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Primeira Liga

1 published market

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