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Sat 19 Sept · 18:00

Alverca vs Rio Ave prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 7
Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverkaduribajo
Referee: Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Alverca

59Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Rio Ave

57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Alverca or Draw

BetGenius backs Alverca or Draw (Double Chance) at 71% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

71%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Alverca welcome Rio Ave to the Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca for matchday seven of the Primeira Liga campaign, with both sides aiming to pull away from the lower reaches of the table. The hosts sit 12th on five points, coming off a positive 3-1 victory away against Nacional, while Rio Ave occupy 16th place with four points following a high-scoring 3-3 draw at home to Estrela.

Alverca have been reliable in attack on home turf, finding the net in all three of their home league fixtures thus far with an average of 1.3 goals scored per match. However, defensive solidity remains an area for improvement, as they have yet to record a clean sheet this season and concede an average of 1.7 goals per home match.

Rio Ave have endured a leaky defensive run, conceding 14 goals across their opening six fixtures, which represents an average of 2.3 goals conceded per game. While they picked up a 2-0 away win against Estoril earlier in the season, heavy defeats against Santa Clara and Sporting CP highlight vulnerabilities that Alverca can exploit in front of their home supporters.

Analysis

Key factors

Alverca have scored in all three of their home league fixtures this season, averaging 1.3 goals per home match.
Rio Ave have conceded 14 goals in six league games, holding the joint-worst defensive record in the bottom half of the table.
Both historical clashes between these teams hosted by Alverca finished level, ending 1-1 and 2-2.
Alverca are unbeaten in their last two head-to-head encounters with Rio Ave, including a 2-1 away victory in April 2026.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Alverca at homeRio Ave away

Played

1-2-1

W-D-L

1-0-3

1.3

Scored /game

0.5

1.3

Conceded /game

1.5

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Alverca at home plus Rio Ave away).

Players

Key players this season

Rio Ave

Diogo Bezerra3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
5	AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	8	+4	14
6	GIL Vicente	8	+2	14
7	Academico Viseu	8	+1	14
8	Alverca	8	+1	11
9	SC Braga	8	-1	11
10	Estrela	8	-1	10
11	Vitória SC	9	0	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Maritimo	9	-10	8
14	Famalicao	8	-1	7
15	Rio Ave	8	-9	7
16	NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)	8	-9	4
17	Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 2	8	-14	4
18	EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 2	8	-8	2

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Alverca: 2
Draws: 1
Rio Ave

the last 4 meetings are split 1-1 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.

2026-04-04Rio Ave1-2Alverca
2025-11-08Alverca1-1Rio Ave
2024-11-23Alverca2-2Rio Ave
2019-11-24Rio Ave1-0Alverca

BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

70%49 won from 70 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Alverca or Draw

71%

Confidence

Alverca have demonstrated steady scoring consistency at home, failing to score in zero home matches while averaging 1.3 goals per game. Rio Ave enter the contest having suffered four defeats in six league outings, conceding 14 goals in total. With both previous meetings between these clubs at Alverca ending in draws and Alverca unbeaten against Rio Ave in their last two head-to-head fixtures, backing the hosts to take at least a point is well supported by the form and defensive profiles of both sides.

Explore

Alverca vs Rio Ave prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Rio Ave

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Primeira Liga

1 published market

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