Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Alaves welcome Atletico Madrid to Mendizorrotza in round eight of La Liga with both teams positioned in the upper tier of the standings. Atletico Madrid occupy second place on 16 points after taking five victories from their opening seven fixtures, bolstered by consecutive league wins over Real Sociedad, Osasuna, and Real Madrid. Alaves hold sixth position with 11 points, though their early momentum has slowed following a three-match winless sequence that produced two losses and a goalless draw against Athletic Club.

Diego Simeone's squad has averaged 2.3 goals scored per match across the competition, but trips to Mendizorrotza have historically proven demanding. Across their last five visits to Alaves, Atletico Madrid have collected just one victory, being held to draws in their two most recent trips in 2025 and suffering two defeats. Alaves rely on a disciplined defensive structure using three-back and five-back formations, which has limited opponents to just three goals across four home league matches this season.

Squad availability will also influence the contest. Alaves are missing F. Garces through suspension alongside injured pair V. Koski and M. Rodriguez, having failed to score in their last two matches against Valencia and Athletic Club. Atletico Madrid travel without injured options P. Barrios and A. Sorloth. While Atletico hold the quality and current momentum, Alaves remain organized on their own ground, setting up a competitive encounter.