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13:00
Sat 24 Oct

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction

Follow Rayo VallecanoFollow ElcheFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Referee
Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano
50Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -2 goal difference

Elche
53Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano or Draw

BetGenius backs Rayo Vallecano or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano welcome Elche to the Campo de Futbol de Vallecas aiming to preserve their solid early-season home form. Sitting 14th in the standings with nine points from eight matches, Rayo have earned seven of those points on home soil, compiling two wins and a draw while scoring six goals across three games at their ground.

Elche occupy 18th place in the relegation positions with seven points from nine games, yet their performances on their travels have been notably steady. The visitors have suffered just one defeat in five away fixtures, collecting one victory and three draws while conceding only six goals. Consecutive 0-0 scorelines against Villarreal and Celta Vigo highlight a defensive posture designed to absorb pressure and keep games tight.

Rayo will need to navigate selection constraints, with Pathe Ciss suspended alongside injuries to Luiz Felipe, Andrei Ratiu, Randy Nteka, and Augusto Batalla. However, with leading scorer Sergio Camello spearheading the forward line and Rayo holding four victories in their last six home encounters with Elche, the hosts enter with the stronger platform to secure a positive result.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten at home in La Liga this season with two wins and a draw from three fixtures.
  2. Elche have drawn three of their five away league matches and enter following consecutive 0-0 stalemates.
  3. Rayo Vallecano have won four of the previous six home meetings against Elche, including a 1-0 triumph in their last meeting.
  4. Sergio Camello provides reliable finishing for Rayo, having scored seven league goals this term.
  5. Rayo Vallecano must adjust for the absence of suspended midfielder Pathe Ciss and injured defenders Luiz Felipe and Andrei Ratiu.
Availability

Team news

Rayo Vallecano

  • A. BatallaBroken calfbone
  • Luiz FelipeKnee Injury
  • R. NtekaBack Injury
  • A. RatiuMuscle Injury

Elche

  • M. AguadoAnkle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Rayo Vallecano at homeElche away
3
Played
5
2-1-0
W-D-L
1-3-1
2
Scored /game
1.4
1.3
Conceded /game
1.2
—
Clean sheets
20%
—
Failed to score
20%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Rayo Vallecano at home plus Elche away).

Players

Key players this season

Rayo Vallecano

  • Sergio Camello7G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
11Levante9-210
12Villarreal909
13Athletic Club8-19
14Rayo Vallecano8-59
15Getafe9-69
16Espanyol9-18
17Racing Santander9-128
18ElcheRelegation - LaLiga29-67
19ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga29-96
20MalagaRelegation - LaLiga210-125
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
4
Rayo Vallecano
2
Draws
4
Elche

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-04-03Rayo Vallecano1-0Elche
  • 2025-12-21Elche4-0Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-04-29Elche4-0Rayo Vallecano
  • 2022-10-03Rayo Vallecano2-1Elche
  • 2022-02-18Elche2-1Rayo Vallecano
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

74%90 won from 122 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano or Draw
75%
Confidence

Rayo Vallecano remain unbeaten at home this campaign with two wins and a draw from three league outings. While Elche have been competitive away from home by losing only once in five matches, they have struggled for attacking thrust, failing to score in three of their nine matches overall and coming off successive 0-0 draws. Rayo have also held the upper hand in meetings at Vallecas, winning four of the last six encounters, including a 1-0 victory in April 2026. The hosts possess the edge to take at least a point against an opponent averaging only 1.2 goals scored per match across the season.

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Published October 22, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.