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Wed 9 Sept · 19:00

Al-Nassr vs Abha prediction

Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Referee
S. Al Hunfush
Form

Recent form

Al-Nassr
78Strong

Last 4 matches · 3W-0D-1L · +2 goal difference

Abha
20Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Al-Nassr to win

BetGenius backs Al-Nassr to win (Match Winner) at 85% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

85%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Al-Nassr return to home soil looking to maintain pressure at the top of the Pro League standings. Sitting in second place with 12 points from five matches, the hosts have recorded four victories so far and hold a perfect record at home, where they have scored five goals while conceding just one.

In stark contrast, Abha arrive in Riyadh anchored to the bottom of the table in 18th position with only a single point from five outings. Their defensive record on the road has been particularly vulnerable, conceding seven times across two away fixtures for an average of 3.5 goals conceded per match.

Historical head-to-head records heavily favour Al-Nassr, who have won seven of the last ten encounters between the sides, including a resounding 8-0 away win in their most recent meeting. With Ângelo scoring three goals this season alongside key contributions from João Félix and S. Mané, Al-Nassr enter this contest with substantial advantages in form, squad depth, and attacking efficiency.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Al-Nassr sit 2nd in the table with 12 points from five matches, while Abha occupy 18th place with only 1 point.
  2. Al-Nassr hold a 100% winning record at home this season, scoring five goals and conceding only once in two games.
  3. Abha have lost both away league matches, conceding seven goals at an average of 3.5 per contest.
  4. Al-Nassr have won seven of the previous ten meetings between the two clubs, including an 8-0 win in the most recent clash.
  5. Nine of the last ten meetings between these teams produced over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.8 total goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Al-Nassr at homeAbha away
5
Played
5
5-0-0
W-D-L
0-1-4
2.2
Scored /game
0.8
0.4
Conceded /game
2.2
60%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
Failed to score
40%
—
BTTS (last 5)
60%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Al-Nassr at home plus Abha away).

Players

Key players this season

Al-Nassr

  • Ângelo3A
  • João Félix3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Al-Qadisiyah FCPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)10+1525
2Al-Hilal Saudi FCPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)9+2024
3Al-NassrPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)9+1322
4Al-Ittihad FCPromotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)9+820
5Al-Ahli JeddahPromotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)9+1118
6NEOMPromotion - AFC Champions League 210+516
15Al-Faisaly FC9-77
16Al-FatehRelegation - Division 111-136
17Al TaawonRelegation - Division 110-134
18AbhaRelegation - Division 18-92
History

Head-to-head

7
Al-Nassr
2
Draws
1
Abha

Al-Nassr have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-09-09Al-Nassr2-1Abha
  • 2024-04-02Abha0-8Al-Nassr
  • 2023-10-06Al-Nassr2-2Abha
  • 2023-03-18Al-Nassr2-1Abha
  • 2023-03-14Al-Nassr3-1Abha
BetGenius

Our record in Pro League

69%77 won from 112 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Al-Nassr to win
85%
Confidence

Al-Nassr hold a comprehensive advantage across all primary performance indicators. They have collected 12 points compared to Abha's one, won both home fixtures while conceding only one goal, and average 2.5 goals scored per home match. Abha are winless in the league, have lost both away trips, and concede heavily on their travels at 3.5 goals per game. Given the stark 16-place disparity in the table and Al-Nassr winning seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, the host side represents a compelling pick to secure all three points in a game that historically generates high goal counts.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.