Super Liga (Serbia)

Radnicki 1923 or Draw — 76% confidence

Radnicki 1923 have won three of their four home matches this season, suffering defeat only against table-topping FK Crvena Zvezda. Radnik Surdulica have yet to claim a single victory on their travels, posting two draws and three defeats in five away trips while scoring only three goals. Moreover, Radnicki 1923 have not lost to Radnik Surdulica in any of their previous seven meetings, making the home side avoiding defeat the most probable outcome.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Head-to-head history points firmly toward a tight contest, with the last ten meetings averaging just 1.3 goals per game and 90 percent finishing with under 2.5 goals. Radnik Surdulica average only 0.6 goals scored per game on the road, while Radnicki 1923 failed to score in their previous two matches.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Head-to-head history points firmly toward a tight contest, with the last ten meetings averaging just 1.3 goals per game and 90 percent finishing with under 2.5 goals. Radnik Surdulica average only 0.6 goals scored per game on the road, while Radnicki 1923 failed to score in their previous two matches.

Radnicki 1923 have won three of their four home matches this season, suffering defeat only against table-topping FK Crvena Zvezda. Radnik Surdulica have yet to claim a single victory on their travels, posting two draws and three defeats in five away trips while scoring only three goals. Moreover, Radnicki 1923 have not lost to Radnik Surdulica in any of their previous seven meetings, making the home side avoiding defeat the most probable outcome.

Zemun have endured a winless start to the league campaign, registering three draws and nine defeats across 12 fixtures while failing to score in eight of those matches. Macva have shown greater resilience recently, taking points from back-to-back league draws against Cukaricki and OFK Beograd. Given that Macva are also winless on their travels with two draws and four defeats, an outright away victory carries risk, making the away win or draw combination a far more measured reflection of the matchup. In addition, the two sides have combined for only 15 goals in 24 total league fixtures, and nine of their last ten head-to-head matches finished under 2.5 goals.

Novi Pazar have demonstrated consistent resilience in this matchup, losing only one of their last 10 encounters against Radnicki NIS while claiming five wins and four draws. Radnicki NIS have endured a difficult stretch, losing four straight games in all competitions and conceding at least three goals in each of those matches. Although Novi Pazar have yet to record an away victory this season, their defensive structure on the road has remained solid with only five goals conceded in five away fixtures. Combining the away win and draw covers the most probable paths given the hosts poor run of form and Novi Pazar strong historical edge in this fixture.

Železničar Pančevo boast a dominant record in this fixture, remaining unbeaten across all ten previous encounters with IMT Novi Beograd courtesy of six wins and four draws. When playing away at IMT, they have taken two wins and four draws in six visits. The visitors also bring strong form into the game following consecutive shutouts against FK Partizan and Zemun. While IMT have been remarkably tough to break down at home, conceding only 0.2 goals per game, their inability to get past Železničar across ten attempts makes backing the visitors to win or draw a well-supported position that also accounts for a potential low-scoring stalemate.

Surdulica’s unbeaten home record and superior home scoring rate contrast with Radnicki NIS’s very low away goal average and recent run of losses. The head‑to‑head record shows many draws, and the away side has struggled to find the net on the road, making a home win or draw the most likely outcomes. The combined goal expectation is around two, supporting an under‑2.5 goal market as well.

Zeleznicar Pancevo have been tough to beat at home, recording three victories and a draw across four league matches while conceding only twice in that venue split. Cukaricki have struggled on their travels, conceding nine goals across four away fixtures and failing to win in their last four league games overall. The double chance covering a home win or draw aligns well with the contrasting venue form.

FK Crvena Zvezda hold an extraordinary multi-signal advantage across league position, home form, and head-to-head records. The league leaders have won all five home league matches this season, averaging 3.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per home game. Radnicki NIS have struggled on the road, winning just one of five away games and scoring a modest average of 0.4 goals per match away from home. Furthermore, Crvena Zvezda have won nine of the last ten direct clashes and six out of six when hosting Radnicki NIS, indicating a strong probability of another home victory.

Macva’s home defence concedes only 0.8 goals per game and they have three clean sheets at home, while Mladost have scored just 0.4 on the road and have a poor away defensive record (2.4 conceded). Both teams average under one goal per game, so a low‑scoring result is probable. Macva’s recent home draw and Mladost’s recent 0‑5 away loss further support a scenario where Macva avoid defeat, either by a narrow win or a draw, and the total goals are likely to stay under 2.5.

Partizan have shown significant defensive frailties this season, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their eight Super Liga fixtures while conceding 15 goals overall at an average of 1.9 per game. At the same time, they possess reliable attacking threat, scoring 13 goals in eight matches and finding the net in all four away games. Radnik Surdulica have scored seven goals in five home fixtures, failing to score only once at home. Given Partizan's porous backline and productive forward line, both teams finding the back of the net represents the most probable match script.

Both teams have established strong defensive trends in this venue split. OFK Beograd have conceded only 0.8 goals per match at home this season, remaining unbeaten in four fixtures. Radnicki 1923 have been involved in very low-scoring encounters on their travels, scoring two goals and conceding five across five away matches while failing to score in three of them. Furthermore, Radnicki 1923 possess the joint-best defensive record in the division with just six goals conceded in eight total games, pointing toward another low-scoring battle under the 2.5 goal line.

Vojvodina have been dominant at home this season, winning five out of five matches with eleven goals scored and just two conceded. They enter this fixture on a four-game winning streak in the league. IMT Novi Beograd have collected only one point from their last three away matches and average one goal per game on their travels. While IMT's defensive record of conceding only six goals in nine games makes them difficult to break down, Vojvodina's home efficiency and attacking output make them strongly favored to take at least a point.

No — 67% confidence

Zemun have failed to find the net in six of their nine league matches this season, including three of four games on the road where they have scored just a single goal. Novi Pazar have registered clean sheets in three of their five home matches, suggesting the visitors will struggle to breach the home defence.

Novi Pazar to win — 74% confidence

Zemun have lost seven consecutive league fixtures and hold a zero percent win rate this season, suffering defeat in all four away matches while conceding 2.5 goals per game on the road. Novi Pazar have taken ten points from five home matches, remaining unbeaten in their last three at home with two clean-sheet victories in that span. This overwhelming difference in momentum and venue records strongly supports a home win.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Zemun have lost seven consecutive league fixtures and hold a zero percent win rate this season, suffering defeat in all four away matches while conceding 2.5 goals per game on the road. Novi Pazar have taken ten points from five home matches, remaining unbeaten in their last three at home with two clean-sheet victories in that span. This overwhelming difference in momentum and venue records strongly supports a home win.

Zemun have failed to find the net in six of their nine league matches this season, including three of four games on the road where they have scored just a single goal. Novi Pazar have registered clean sheets in three of their five home matches, suggesting the visitors will struggle to breach the home defence.

Crvena Zvezda lead the Super Liga with seven wins and one draw from eight matches, having conceded only two goals all season. They are undefeated in their three away league fixtures and have yet to concede a goal on the road. In seven head-to-head encounters with Železničar Pančevo, Crvena Zvezda have never lost, winning six and drawing one. While Železničar are unbeaten at home this season with three wins and a draw, Crvena Zvezda possess superior defensive metrics and head-to-head dominance, pointing toward the visitors avoiding defeat.

FK Crvena Zvezda hold a comprehensive record against IMT Novi Beograd, having won all eight historical meetings between the clubs. The visitors lead the Super Liga with six victories and one draw from seven games, boasting an 18-to-2 goal differential. Although IMT Novi Beograd have kept clean sheets in all three home games this season, Crvena Zvezda have consistently breached their backline in previous encounters, averaging over three goals per meeting in the head-to-head series.

Vojvodina have won six of their opening eight league matches and sit second in the table with 18 points. Partizan have lost four of their seven league games and have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per fixture without keeping a clean sheet. Vojvodina's attacking form, spearheaded by D. Zukic and N. Mulahusejnovic, gives them the edge to avoid defeat against a struggling Partizan side.