Raków Częstochowa

Wisla Krakow have been formidable on their home ground, posting five wins from five matches with 10 goals scored and only three conceded. Raków Częstochowa sit at the bottom of the table after losing nine of their opening 11 matches, having conceded 26 goals without keeping a clean sheet all season. While Raków managed a 2-1 victory in their last away match and boast a positive historical head-to-head record from earlier seasons, Wisla's current home stability gives them a substantial advantage to secure at least a point. Raków's open matches also point toward goals, with each of their last five fixtures exceeding two total goals.

Wieczysta Kraków are the clear statistical favorite: higher league position, more points, a positive home goal difference and a better home defensive record. Raków have not earned a point away and concede heavily on the road. While a straight home win is plausible, the data does not show an overwhelming margin, so backing the home side or a draw offers a safer hedge. Expected total goals hover around 2.7, just above the 2.5 line, supporting the over 2.5 call.

Raków Częstochowa have conceded in every league match this season, averaging 2.6 goals against per game at home while failing to keep a single clean sheet. Despite their struggles in the table, Raków have found the net in all five of their home fixtures, led by P. Makuch who has scored five goals.

GKS Katowice have also had defensive issues on their travels, conceding ten goals across five away matches with zero clean sheets away from home. However, with I. Shkurin scoring six goals and B. Nowak providing five assists, Katowice have regular attacking quality to exploit Raków defensive record, making goals at both ends the most probable outcome.

Korona Kielce enter this fixture on a five-match unbeaten run comprising three wins and two draws, having conceded just three goals during that sequence. In contrast, Raków Częstochowa sit bottom of the table having lost six of their seven league games, including all three away fixtures. While Korona have drawn three of their four home outings, Raków's travel difficulties make the double chance on the home side a well-supported outcome. Additionally, eight of the last ten meetings between these clubs have produced under 2.5 goals, aligning with Korona's home average of 0.8 goals scored per game and Raków's away average of 0.7.

Zaglebie Lubin or Draw — 75% confidence

Rakow Czestochowa have endured six straight defeats in all competitions, managing zero points from their home league fixtures while conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game on their own turf. In contrast, Zaglebie Lubin have lost only once in six league matches this season. Having remained undefeated across the last two head-to-head encounters against Rakow, including a 1-0 away win in December 2025, Zaglebie are well placed to take at least a point.

Under 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence

Zaglebie Lubin have maintained a disciplined defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per match and keeping three clean sheets in six league outings. Across their last ten head-to-head meetings, 60 percent finished with under 2.5 goals, including a 0-0 draw in February 2026 and a 1-0 Zaglebie win in December 2025. With Zaglebie averaging just 0.7 goals scored per away game and Rakow struggling for rhythm, a lower-scoring affair is probable.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Zaglebie Lubin have maintained a disciplined defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per match and keeping three clean sheets in six league outings. Across their last ten head-to-head meetings, 60 percent finished with under 2.5 goals, including a 0-0 draw in February 2026 and a 1-0 Zaglebie win in December 2025. With Zaglebie averaging just 0.7 goals scored per away game and Rakow struggling for rhythm, a lower-scoring affair is probable.

Rakow Czestochowa have endured six straight defeats in all competitions, managing zero points from their home league fixtures while conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game on their own turf. In contrast, Zaglebie Lubin have lost only once in six league matches this season. Having remained undefeated across the last two head-to-head encounters against Rakow, including a 1-0 away win in December 2025, Zaglebie are well placed to take at least a point.

Raków Częstochowa have scored in all three of their home league games this season, producing four goals, but have also conceded nine goals in those matches without keeping a clean sheet. Motor Lublin have scored in all three of their away fixtures and feature forward K. Czubak, who has already recorded five league goals. Given that neither side has registered an away or home clean sheet respectively, both teams finding the net represents a well-supported outcome.

Lech Poznan possess a clear multi-signal advantage across the table standings, current form, and defensive metrics. Sitting in 1st place with 13 points, Lech have maintained a clean defensive sheet at home in league play while averaging 2.0 goals scored per match overall. Raków Częstochowa sit bottom in 18th place with zero points from five league matches and have conceded at least two goals in each of their recent fixtures across all competitions. The combination of Raków's five-game losing streak in the league and Lech's unbeaten start makes a home victory the most probable outcome.

Yes — 76% confidence

Both clubs have a 100 percent rate of scoring and conceding in the league this season. Rakow have scored five goals and conceded 11 across four fixtures without keeping a single clean sheet. Similarly, Gornik Zabrze have registered nine goals and allowed six in four matches, with zero clean sheets recorded. Everything points towards both sides creating and converting opportunities.

Gornik Zabrze or Draw — 72% confidence

Gornik Zabrze bring far superior league form into this tie, with nine points collected from four games compared to Rakow who sit on zero points after four consecutive defeats. In addition, Gornik have won each of the last three head-to-head meetings between the two teams, making backing them to avoid defeat a well-supported position.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Gornik Zabrze bring far superior league form into this tie, with nine points collected from four games compared to Rakow who sit on zero points after four consecutive defeats. In addition, Gornik have won each of the last three head-to-head meetings between the two teams, making backing them to avoid defeat a well-supported position.

Both clubs have a 100 percent rate of scoring and conceding in the league this season. Rakow have scored five goals and conceded 11 across four fixtures without keeping a single clean sheet. Similarly, Gornik Zabrze have registered nine goals and allowed six in four matches, with zero clean sheets recorded. Everything points towards both sides creating and converting opportunities.

Raków Częstochowa have lost all three of their Ekstraklasa matches this campaign, conceding exactly two goals in each fixture. In contrast, Jagiellonia have taken six points from three league outings and have won three of their last four matches in all competitions. Backing the visitors on the double chance offers solid protection given Raków's defensive struggles in the opening weeks.

Both teams proved their ability to breach each other's defenses in the first leg's 2-2 draw. Hajduk Split have scored in every recorded fixture with a 3.70 goals-for average, while Raków have averaged 1.50 goals at home and already demonstrated they can find the net multiple times against Hajduk's backline.