Louletano

Rio Ave showed positive attacking signs in their 3-2 win over Nacional, giving them the momentum to avoid defeat in this cup tie. Louletano have won two cup matches this season against FC Serpa and Castrense, but their recent 1-0 defeat against Vitoria de Sernache highlights their modest offensive output. Covering the draw alongside an away result accounts for Rio Ave's recent away struggles, where they failed to score at Alverca and Santa Clara, while respecting Louletano's ability to keep matches low-scoring and competitive on their own patch.

Louletano hold a strong head-to-head record against FC Serpa, winning five and drawing two of their eight previous meetings while losing only once. Louletano have also won both of their recent away fixtures across all competitions, including a 1-0 victory at Castrense. Although FC Serpa are on a four-game unbeaten run, Louletano have avoided defeat in three of their four historical trips to Serpa, making the away win or draw a well-supported outcome in this knockout cup tie.

Louletano hold the edge in recent match activity, having scored four goals in their latest away match against Caldas. Castrense have shown defensive vulnerability when facing higher-tier opposition in the cup, conceding five against Lusitânia Lourosa and four against Moura. Backing Louletano on the double chance provides coverage for a competitive cup tie while reflecting the visitors' sharper form.